SI
SI
discoversearch

We've detected that you're using an ad content blocking browser plug-in or feature. Ads provide a critical source of revenue to the continued operation of Silicon Investor.  We ask that you disable ad blocking while on Silicon Investor in the best interests of our community.  If you are not using an ad blocker but are still receiving this message, make sure your browser's tracking protection is set to the 'standard' level.
Gold/Mining/Energy : Strictly: Drilling and oil-field services -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: thomas hayden who wrote (35594)1/21/1999 7:54:00 PM
From: Crimson Ghost  Read Replies (3) | Respond to of 95453
 
Tom: I made the same points re: FGI in a post a few weeks ago. The huge short interest (which appears dumb as hell on the surface) and poor action convinces me that some bad news is coming out about this company. With so many attractive OS stocks out there, I can pass this one by.

Those who argue that a tanking market will benefit OS may soon see their theory put to the test. Market sure looks like it has peaked or is in the process of forming a major top. If the greatest bull market in history (except for commodity related stocks) had to end with a huge speculative blowoff, the run from October certainly fills the bill. The NASAQ soared about 75% from its October low to its January peak. If that isn't a speculative blowoff, I don't know what is.



To: thomas hayden who wrote (35594)1/21/1999 8:04:00 PM
From: Nutty Buddy  Respond to of 95453
 
>>Why is a company (FGI) that is going great guns in the tank with investors?<<

It's just the industry. Good, bad, they all get thrown in the garbage. Did an overlay with GLM, almost identical chart and 1 year return. Small float probably exaggerates the short interest.

I've waited for this industry to falter. Gives nice investment alternatives when everything else looks pricy. For a while, everything was expensive. Where else will the smart money go when economic conditions START to go negative or the inflation bug starts to show its ugly head?

Buddy



To: thomas hayden who wrote (35594)1/21/1999 9:17:00 PM
From: Hrothgar  Respond to of 95453
 
The vast majority of oil/oil service sector stocks have experienced shrinking revenue and profits this past year. There are a few exceptions, such as FGI, that seem to have put together growth during these turbulent times. Even though FGI is showing earnings growth, it is overshadowed by the overall state of the industry. FGI's stock price is dragged down and held there by association with the others; drillers, E&Ps, transportation co's, etc. RIG is another example of a fine company that has been smothered by this environment. No matter how well a company is performing, if its industry is in shambles the investment public will not be eager to jump in even a standout while the possibility exists that the hard times may eventually bleed into that company. FGI may be doing great right now and for the foreseeable future, but no real investment money will flow into it while the oil industry is still mired in this contraction. Very rarely will a standout in such a depressed industry become independent and take off on its own. However, it is highly likely that it will respond the quickest and most dramatically when things do begin turning around.

As for the short interest figure, I would not make any rash judgments on it until an update for January can be confirmed. The latest figure I have seen is for December 8, 1998. This is 6 weeks ago. If anyone has a source for more current NYSE short info, I would be eager to see it.

FGI is a fine company doing well in uncertain times. As times improve , FGI's stock price will respond accordingly. Until then, paranoid projections about a phantom problem with it will not help anything.

When facts arise and fundamentals change, then we will know the truth. Of course, by then FGI will have already responded accordingly.

Ok, I need a beer now.