To: thomas hayden who wrote (35594 ) 1/21/1999 9:17:00 PM From: Hrothgar Respond to of 95453
The vast majority of oil/oil service sector stocks have experienced shrinking revenue and profits this past year. There are a few exceptions, such as FGI, that seem to have put together growth during these turbulent times. Even though FGI is showing earnings growth, it is overshadowed by the overall state of the industry. FGI's stock price is dragged down and held there by association with the others; drillers, E&Ps, transportation co's, etc. RIG is another example of a fine company that has been smothered by this environment. No matter how well a company is performing, if its industry is in shambles the investment public will not be eager to jump in even a standout while the possibility exists that the hard times may eventually bleed into that company. FGI may be doing great right now and for the foreseeable future, but no real investment money will flow into it while the oil industry is still mired in this contraction. Very rarely will a standout in such a depressed industry become independent and take off on its own. However, it is highly likely that it will respond the quickest and most dramatically when things do begin turning around. As for the short interest figure, I would not make any rash judgments on it until an update for January can be confirmed. The latest figure I have seen is for December 8, 1998. This is 6 weeks ago. If anyone has a source for more current NYSE short info, I would be eager to see it. FGI is a fine company doing well in uncertain times. As times improve , FGI's stock price will respond accordingly. Until then, paranoid projections about a phantom problem with it will not help anything. When facts arise and fundamentals change, then we will know the truth. Of course, by then FGI will have already responded accordingly. Ok, I need a beer now.