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Strategies & Market Trends : Telebras (TBH) & Brazil -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: djane who wrote (12206)1/22/1999 12:29:00 AM
From: djane  Respond to of 22640
 
Latin America's singlemode deployment to double
[I guess someone believes there's value down there. Just a little techie article to staunch the Wall St. hysterics...]

Market Watch, December 1998

broadband-guide.com


The annual deployment of singlemode fiber-optic cable in Latin
America will grow at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of
nearly 12% over the next five years, according to a new study by
KMI Corp. (Newport, RI). Singlemode Fiber-Optic Cable
Markets in Latin America, 1997-2003, reports that annual
deployment will rise from 1.8 million fiber-km in 1997 to 3.6
million fiber-km in 2003.

The report profiles 11 Latin American countries, including Mexico,
Argentina, Bolivia, Brazil, Chile, Columbia, Ecuador, Paraguay,
Peru, Uruguay, and Venezuela. The forecast covers fiber
deployment for telephone companies, cable-television providers,
and other operators, including electric companies.

A few key findings in KMI's research include a CAGR of 26.7%
for the installed base of fiber from 1997 to 2003. The installed
base will rise from 5 million fiber-km in 1997 to 11.5 million km in
2000 to 21 million km in 2003.
Most of the fiber in the region will
be deployed by telephone operators. Their long-haul deployments
will account for the largest share of fiber demand for the rest of the
1990s. Long-haul deployment, however, is expected to decline
during the full forecast period. New long-haul installations will
account for only 27% of all fiber deployed in 2003, as opposed to
52% in 1998.

Operators reported having enough capacity in place or on the
drawing boards to meet their long-distance requirements for the
next five years, typically using 24-fiber cable in their long-haul
networks. Brazil's Embratel is the only company planning to use
wavelength-division multiplexing to increase long-haul capacity.


Metro and access deployments will grow rapidly, says KMI,
particularly after 1998. Metro/access deployment will grow at a
CAGR of more than 22% from 1997 to 2003. It will account for
34% of all new fiber installed in 1998 and 60% of all new fiber
installed in 2003. With few exceptions, operators in the region
plan to limit deployment of fiber in their access networks to large
business customers and to remote terminals in digital loop carrier
systems. Fiber-to-the-curb is not in prospect except for limited
applications in Brazil.

Cable TV will play an important role in the Latin American market
as operators use fiber in hybrid fiber/coaxial-cable deployments to
upgrade and expand their networks. Region-wide, cable TV will
account for 13% of the installed base of fiber by 2003.

For more information or to order the complete study, contact
Carole McCormick at KMI Corp., (800) 343-4035 (USA),
(401) 849-6771, fax: (401) 847-5866, or e-mail:
info@kmicorp.com.

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