To: KM who wrote (6474 ) 1/22/1999 9:31:00 AM From: D.J.Smyth Respond to of 10072
In Jan 1998 IOM had 12 million zips in the market: now nearly 22 million. They were weighed down with lawsuits; now none. Competition appeared to be eating Zips lunch. Now IOM owns 85% of removeable floppy market - increased its market share by nearly 15%. IOM was trading at $9 in January 1998. It's still trading at $9. IOM will have nearly 25 million zips in place by the end of this quarter. 25 million times $6 (3/4 zip disk bought per drive) is $150 million in sales. at least 4 million new drives sold times $60 per drive equals $240 million. You add another $85 million for jaz products. Another $11 million for clik! (assuming 150,000 units) and $12 million for peripherals, and you arrive at $498 million. Point is, though simple, IOM could hit nearly $500 million in sales this first quarter, a 20% increase over first quarter 1998. The conference call was stating that R&D could increase by $18 million to, basically, rollout their new product. This is a significant outlay for a new product. The product must be very important to them/ and they would expect a significantly higher return in sales from this new product on their $18 million going forward. By the end of the year 35 million zips could be in place - times $ - you get the picture. Which makes the falling statement by Cohodes ludicrous: <<That's enough to get longtime Iomega short-seller Marc Cohodes of Rocker Partners off their backs. "The trouble with Iomega is Iomega," he says. "The enemy is themselves. Their early success led to a mid-season and late-season failure. The new guy, Jodie Glore, is washing the dishes and cooking the meals, but don't worry, sales are still down year-over-year." >>