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Strategies & Market Trends : Telebras (TBH) & Brazil -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: md1derful who wrote (12263)1/22/1999 1:15:00 PM
From: Steve Fancy  Respond to of 22640
 
Thanks Doc, I agree now would probably be a good time to look at shorting puts...or covered call writing as one guy did last week. Huge premiums in just out of the money calls...especially out a month or so. I must add, I'm tapped on shorted puts in Brazil. I'm waiting to see where the late afternoon takes us and will proabably bail from my puts for the weekend.




To: md1derful who wrote (12263)1/22/1999 1:17:00 PM
From: Steve Fancy  Respond to of 22640
 
Brazil Real Steadies as Govt Sells Dollars, Interest Rate Futures Soar

Sao Paulo, Jan. 22 (Bloomberg) -- The Brazilian currency
steadied as interest rate futures soared and government-owned
Banco do Brasil SA sold dollars to reverse an early decline,
traders said.

Traders said Banco do Brasil, which typically operates in
the market on behalf of the central bank, sold dollars at a rate
of 1.60 reais to the dollar.

The real strengthened to 1.65 per dollar from as low as
1.76, then settled at 1.715, down 1 percent from yesterday.

The government left overnight interbank interest rates
unchanged at 32.50. Interest rate futures for March soared to 63
percent, indicating that investors think the central bank may be
forced to raise interest rates to lure dollars back into the
country.
''The market is still nervous,'' said Sergio Machado, a
money market trader at Banco Fator SA in Sao Paulo. ''We're going
to have to live with this for some time. Building back confidence
takes time.''

Capital outflows of $6.9 billion this month has drained the
supply of foreign exchange at commercial banks, boosting the
value of the dollar and hurting the real.

Intervention

The central bank's willingness to sell dollars has become
increasingly important as private sector banks' supply is eroded
by companies and banks payments of expiring bonds and other
obligations abroad. Banks and exporters, two of the main
providers of dollars in the market, have declined to sell, hoping
their dollars will rise even more.

Banco do Brasil said its foreign exchange operations were
''normal,'' though money market traders said there was little
doubt of a government intervention.
''The central bank is the one that would go into the market
for this kind of operation,'' said Eduardo Braga, manager of
Banco do Brasil's international area.

The central bank is reluctant to intervene in the market
because its reserves, not including $9 billion from the
International Monetary Fund, are hovering at less than $30
billion, about $10 billion from a level at which it would have to
renegotiate its entire $41.5 billion IMF aid package.



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