To: Jenna who wrote (22818 ) 1/23/1999 1:32:00 PM From: Jenna Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 120523
Assigning a value to high multiple internet stocks and why they will always be listed as earnings plays even if they have don't have earnings as yet. Two facts that are immutable. 1. The Internet will continue to grow exponentially. In the US the internet revenues could reach $1.2 trillion by 2002, and eventually $33 trillion worldwide, Expect stock prices to rise accordingly 2. Volatility will remain the norm Savvy Investors continue to buy shares in high multiple Internet stocks. Here are some ways (according to Mark Ingebretsen in Jan/Feb's OnLineInvestor magazine*) to assign a vlue to these companies: 1>How much is a company worth if you sell it piece by piece. Internetstocks.com contains a "valuation calculator." Fill in the blanks and the software determines what a company might be worth if sold: 2>Price to Sales ratio : Instead of earnings focus on sales.. How much have they grown over the years? Amazon.com reported sales of more than $200 so far this year. Given its 838 percent growth rate, the stock might not be such a bad buy, even if it does have a price-sales ratio of 16. For help predicting a company's future sales, visit the Motley Fool site. It charts sales growth over a four-year period and includes revenue reports from the current year. After you enter the ticker symbol, click on financials. 3> Discounted future prices: Let's suppose analysts predict Intuit will grow 20 percent annually over the next several years. Earnings are currently estimated at $1.21 per share. Compound that amount by 20 percent annually…Result: By 2004, Intuit should earn about $3.12 per share. Now multiply that figure by 32 (the current Street multiple). By that reckoning, Intuit should sell for just under $100 per share by 2004, Not bad. Using a more conservative multiple say, 22 times earnings the price comes out to around $69 per share.. not bad. Coincidentally, Intuit's own site, Quicken.com gives future earnings estimates for most listed stocks. 4>Shares outstanding: Before you put your money down, pay close attetnion to the way a company's management has financed growth in the past. Some companies follow up their initial IPO with yet another offering, thereby diluting shareholder equity. The stock gets hammered as a result. Amazon.com wisely followed up its IPO with a junk-bond offering. One effect of this is that the company's small float keeps the squeeze on predatory short sellers who bid up the share price when they cover. *10 killer web based strategies that help cut the risk.. He Outlined some strategies to lower the risk of buying Internet stocks..