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Gold/Mining/Energy : Position Trading in Canada -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Cush who wrote (580)1/23/1999 7:40:00 PM
From: Ward Nicholson  Read Replies (3) | Respond to of 2259
 
TUV:

Please, by all means...question my reading of it!
That's what this thread is all about.

The first thing I ever look at is the slope of the
40-day EMA...the trend is your friend right?

tscn.com

TUV is trending nicely above it's rising 40-day EMA.
It's not that I don't ever trade on the long side when
the 40-day EMA is moving down, just that the probabilities
are with you when it's trending up.

With respect to stochastics...remember that this indicator
works best when a stock is in a trading range as
opposed to a trend. If the slope of the 40-day EMA
is the benchmark used to determine whether a stock is trending
or not, I would definitely argue that TUV is trending upward
and, therefore, that stochastic is not the correct indicator
to use here. Stochastics will often signal a sell when a stock
is breaking out to new highs for weeks on end.

OBV...sometimes this indicator is useful, sometimes not.
Looking at TUV's OBV, it doesn't seem to give any useful info.
Because of the lack of liquidity in TUV, when you get some
block trade going through and the stock happens to close higher
for the day, then you get these false jumps in OBV...

tscn.com

MACD [12,26,9] is giving a buy signal, but I would agree
that it's not a strong one given the pattern of the histogram...

tscn.com

So, that brings my bullishness down to subjective judgement
with respect to the chart itself...

tscn.com

It appears that TUV is looking to retest it's all-time high, as
the long-term trend is still up. I don't know how to quantify
what I'm saying here...this is a very subjective field. Of
all the charts I've looked at, this one falls into the category
of "probably going higher".

Must go for now...having sushi with a friend.

Later.

WN