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Technology Stocks : INTEL TRADER -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: John Harton who wrote (5188)1/23/1999 10:16:00 PM
From: tommy gunn  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 11051
 
JOHN,

ON ANALYZING DETAILS
The great introduce us to facts; small men introduce us to themselves.
RALPH WALDO EMERSON

Your the DUDE!
tg



To: John Harton who wrote (5188)1/23/1999 10:48:00 PM
From: MonsieurGonzo  Respond to of 11051
 
John; RE:" ELY - Callaway Golf "

By "position", I was wondering if you were long or short, at what price, leveraged or holding equity; and whether you were "trading" or "investing" long term, John.

By "thin" I was giving my first impression of ELY's latest movement, which shows a long base at ~10 for a duration of 6 months, and a near vertical move up > 25% on heavy volume Tursday+Friday (one would sum these two day's candlesticks together to depict one long, white candle) : supply/sellers was thin and demand/buyers was heavy on Thursday+Friday, as if there were an order imbalance. ELY has not busted out of ~13 for 6 months, nor fallen far below ~10, either.

There is no short-term or intermediate trend, per se - the most remarkable feature of ELY's chart is its long basing period at ~10; secondly the tremendous free-fall in prices from 1997-98, the stock losing 2/3 of its value: That DownTrend ended at ~10, when ELY became "dead money" @ 2.65% APR yield, ~3.8% taxable equiv APR yield in a tax-free account (rather than "a machine that destroys kapital").

News-wise, we note that ELY reports earnings next week on 28-JAN.

T/A-wise John, ELY has a low correlation to RUT.X or to the S&P-400 or, any other sector index: since July-98 ELY has been a speculator's stock rather than a high-visibility trader's stock or an investor's go-with-the-market-mo growth stock. The only classical chart pattern is the long base, with occasional blips without breakout > 13.

I would suggest using a Point & Figure style chart here, John, until there is some sort of trend evident over time.

Else, go intra-day, John, exploring time-slices less than 30m.

-Steve



To: John Harton who wrote (5188)1/24/1999 2:11:00 AM
From: Berney  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 11051
 
John, let me take a shot at ELY as well

ELY was another stock that convinced me that FA had some seroius flaws as an investment tool. It caused me some pain in 1997, and I hadn't looked at it in a long time. Funny how the bad taste remains long after the bad experience.

ELY may well have broken its down trend. But, I would never buy it in front of earnings. I'm from Missouri on this one and it is going to have to show me. It has too great a habit of running up in front of earnings, disappointing, and getting killed. Maybe, just maybe, they have finally turned it around. Until proven, I would just play the short term.

Berney