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To: Douglas V. Fant who wrote (35721)	1/24/1999 8:51:00 PM
From: Jamey	Read Replies (4) \| Respond to of 95453

Doug, the latest intelligence updates appears that all hell is about to break loose in an Iraqi, Serbian concerted actions designed to split the US forces. What is your information on this? "Global Intelligence Update Red Alert January 25, 1999 Rising Danger of Simultaneous Crises in Iraq and Kosovo Summary Something odd is going on. The Iraqis are not allowing the latest crisis to die down, but are challenging U.S. aircraft with missiles and are deploying forces southward. Their newspapers are full of threats directed toward Kuwait and Saudi Arabia. At the same time, the Serbs deliberately carried out a massacre that was intended to be detected, and then intentionally exacerbated the crisis by trying to expel a senior diplomat. There is now the real possibility that Baghdad and Belgrade are coordinating their actions to simultaneously pose challenges that strain U.S. military capabilities. At the same time, Russia has taken on a much more assertive role, demanding that the U.S. not attack either Iraq or Serbia. The U.S. Post-Cold War coalition has completely broken down. Russia, France and China are all resisting the U.S. A window of opportunity has opened here for the Iraqis and Serbs. We see signs that they are now taking advantage of it, perhaps in concert." See details; stratfor.com Santiago