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To: Dell-icious who wrote (36392)1/24/1999 5:58:00 PM
From: Bill Harmond  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 164684
 
If china devalues that puts downward pressure on wages around the world. It effectively devalues labor. American consumers are workers, too. Sure a lot of us are employed in services, but we can't save the economy by giving each other haircuts.

A devaluation from China would cause another round of competitive devaluations around the world, and lead to stresses in free trade (like Clinton spoke to in the State of the Union), perhaps tariffs to save our industries. Smoot-Hawly redux. Anyone earning a manufacturing wage or carrying debt will be stressed immensely.



To: Dell-icious who wrote (36392)1/24/1999 7:46:00 PM
From: Glenn D. Rudolph  Respond to of 164684
 
The Internet Capitalist
SG Cowen Internet Research
10
same as the current basic service, for WebMD's
subscriber package for new physicians and
other healthcare professionals and the
CompuServe service.
WebMD's basic service offers physicians a
comprehensive suite of Internet products
including a virtual office with real-time
insurance verification and referral
authorizations, unified messaging and
telephone-based patient test results;
customized Web sites for physicians;
competitively priced supplies and over one
hundred Continuing Medical Information
courses.
Of the vast healthcare professional universe
(more than 700,000 physicians alone in the
US), it is estimated that only 30%-40% are
using the Internet in their practices today.
WebMD and CompuServe plan to deliver a
customized Internet software package that
brings physician subscribers to the WebMD
portal front page and service, as well as
providing all of CompuServe's content
offerings. As part of the joint service,
CompuServe's Instant Messenger Service will
provide physicians and other healthcare
professionals with the means to set up Contact
Lists of their colleagues and communicate with
them instantly online, making routine queries
a much easier process. Together, this will
represent a comprehensive end-to-end Internet
solution for this large, professional market.
This concept of providing customized service
to large professional communities could be a
key driver of CompuServe's growth over the
next few years, as the Internet takes on
increasing importance in virtually all
professional industries.
Yahoo!
Yahoo! Logs Another In A String Of Great Q's
Yahoo reported fourth quarter results last
week, besting our high-on-the-Street earnings
estimate of $0.17 by $0.04 and consensus by
$0.05 (these numbers exclude the impact of
amortization and one-time charges). Yahoo!
posted EPS of $0.21 per share (up 68%
sequentially) on revenue of $76.4 million (up
204% y/y and 40% q/q) versus our $65 million
top line estimate.
Once again, Yahoo coupled fantastic revenue
growth with great expense control, lending
even more weight to our belief that this is one
of the most scaleable and potentially profitable
business models out there. Sure, the company
re-iterated their adherence to their 30-36%
target operating margin range, but that's for
1999; 2000 and beyond could be (and by all
indications should be) a very different
profitability story.
Perspective is in order, as well, in
remembering how far we've come; one year
ago, Yahoo! was sporting negative operating
margins. Fast forward 12 months, $45 billion
in market cap, and 35.8% points in operating
margin, and you've got one of the strongest
financial profiles around for a public company.
We know we keep repeating the same cant
you've heard before when we suggest that
Yahoo! is a Blue Chip Internet stock, but in a
market environment like this one, being in the
best Internet names out there means protecting
yourself on the downside as well as providing
nice upside. Yahoo!'s Q4 performance, like
many quarters before it, force us on the sell-side
to pick up our jaws, reflect on the quarter,
and once again increase our expectations for
Yahoo!'s performance going forward.
To this end, we are raising revenue for 1999 by
$52 million to $368 million, a 16% increase
from our previous estimate of $315 million.
Our 1999 EPS goes to $0.75 from $0.60. For
2000, we are increasing our revenue to $500
million from $425 million and flowing that