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Technology Stocks : Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Mac S. Giballa who wrote (36586)1/25/1999 3:28:00 PM
From: Andie Wei-Ku Lin  Respond to of 164685
 
Maverick Technical Analysis of Amazon.com (AMZN)

Maverick maintains a long position in Amazon.com.

Based on our technical analysis, on a intraday basis
(1/25/99), Amazon.com needs to break about 116 1/2 on
a closing basis to forge a strong breakout to the upside.
Our short-term upside target is $135-$140. There will
be considerable resistance at $119 1/2 and $126. Keep
in mind that Amazon.com does not present a fundamental
play for us...it is, as is other internet issues, purely
a commodity/trading issue. For those who believe in
Amazon.com on a long-term, fundamental basis, that is fine.
Maverick is a technically-based asset management firm.
While we do incorporate fundamental analysis, it is moreso
on an industry-wide basis (e.g. oil stocks look poised for
a reveral, etc.).

That said, the inability of Amazon.com to break about $116 1/2
on a closing basis should prove somewhat negative going forward
into earnings.

As a sidenote, for those who choose to day-trade Amazon.com,
note that it follows, on a momentum-basis, the DJIA and overall
market. It will not rally if the market is not moving higher.

Andie W. Lin
nsx.net



To: Mac S. Giballa who wrote (36586)1/25/1999 4:05:00 PM
From: Yojimbo  Respond to of 164685
 
Its hard for me to imagine that AMZN could be at $12.50 a year from now. That seems high given the likelihood that AMZN will never be profitable.

keen observation scott; however, they may be @ $12.50 only after several reverse splits in order to meet nasdaq min trading requirements.

btw, tell me which of the e-commerce plays will avoid the "onsale" model?

y