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To: AugustWest who wrote (676)1/28/1999 2:55:00 PM
From: Y-fall  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 884
 
Check this Out!

Noteworthy News Summary: Investors' appetite for technology shares --
particularly Internet names -- may have been fueled by comments by Fed
Chairman Greenspan this morning. The consensus for next week's FOMC meeting
outcome is "no change" in interest rates.

Highlights of Greenspan Q&A: In the question and answer session following
this morning's testimony to the Senate Budget Committee, Fed Chairman
Greenspan offered his perspective on the high valuations currently held by
Internet stocks, and also used this phenomenon as a lesson in financial
market operations.

Addressing a question regarding potential "hype" in Internet investments,
Greenspan began, "First of all, you wouldn't get hype working if there
weren't something fundamentally potentially sound under it." He added, "The
size of that potential market is so huge that you have these pie-in-the-sky
type of potentials for a lot of different vehicles. And, undoubtedly, some
of these small companies which have stock prices going through the roof will
succeed and they very well may justify even higher prices. The vast
majority are almost sure to fail. That's the way the markets work in this
regard."

Explaining how this provides an example of free markets in action, the Fed
Chairman later said, "there is at root here something far more fundamental
and indeed, it does reflect something good about the way our securities
markets work: mainly that they do endeavor to ferret out the better
opportunities and put capital into various different types of endeavors
prior to earnings actually materializing."

"That's good for our system. And that's in fact -- with all of this hype
and craziness -- that is something that at the end of the day probably is
more plus than minus."

Investors appear to be ignoring Greenspan's observation that "the vast
majority are almost sure to fail." At 2:00 p.m. EST, the Amex Internet
index was up 4.0%.

Consensus on Next Week's FOMC Meeting Outcome: A survey of 29 of the Fed's
primary dealers by Dow Jones Newswires/CNBC showed a unanimous belief that
the FOMC will hold interest rates steady at the end of their 2-day meeting
on February 2 - 3. The actual rate announcement from the committee is
expected at approximately 2:15 p.m. EST on Wednesday, February 3rd.

The dealers argue against a further lowering of rates given recent economic
reports showing continued strength in the U.S. economy. Even with such
strong growth -- tomorrow's 4Q98 GDP figure is expected to come in at +4.5%
-- the corresponding lack of measurable inflation provides the rationale for
the belief that Fed won't raise rates.

The current fed funds rate is 4.75%. The discount rate is 4.50%.

Schwab500 Team J
Denver
800-544-3007
email: Schwab500.DJ@schwab.com

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