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To: GST who wrote (36896)1/26/1999 7:01:00 PM
From: S. M. SAIFEE  Respond to of 164684
 
Agree, the trend is down and steeper than up trend. I wonder the trade @ 199 1/8 recorded on 1/8/99 still held by greatest fool or the trader was super smart to bail out next day @ 182.



To: GST who wrote (36896)1/26/1999 7:05:00 PM
From: Yojimbo  Respond to of 164684
 
The competition is heating up fast

the fact most often overlooked. given the onsale "model," the new & expected entrants (drugstore.com, wal-mart, altavista, yhoo), the ultra-low barriers to new entrants and forthcoming shopping agents...

there won't be a red nickel to split among them all. the battle has been fought and the consumer has won.

y



To: GST who wrote (36896)1/26/1999 7:13:00 PM
From: Glenn D. Rudolph  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 164684
 

The competition is heating up fast. Expenses are mounting. We are being warned by
AMZN itself, which is a bit out of character. And there is a total .30 cent loss. They will
need to raise cash soon -- I wonder how they will do it. It will be hard to borrow to pay
salaries and operating costs. This is a very risky investment. It would be interesting to
know if the insider selling has accelerated.


I believe we could see that as early as tomorrow.

Glenn



To: GST who wrote (36896)1/26/1999 8:27:00 PM
From: Glenn D. Rudolph  Respond to of 164684
 
AOL chief talks about software, service and future of Net

by San Jose Mercury News

If there can be said to be a clear leader in the Internet industry, it is
America Online. Even before its planned acquisition of Netscape
Communications, AOL attracted one of the Web's largest audiences and posted
Internet-related revenues greater than those of any other company except some
in the hardware business.

During a recent visit to San Jose, AOL founder and Chief Executive Steve Case
met with Mercury News staff. An edited transcript follows:

Q: If I asked you to define AOL with one word, would you call it a media
company, a software company, a services company, a commerce company, an
Internet . . .?

A: I think we are a little bit of each of what you've just described. I think
of ourselves as the leading interactive-services company. We're really trying
to build this new medium. It's a global medium; we're trying to make it as
pervasive as the telephone is or the television and more valuable, and so
we're really a company trying to help build this new medium. And the closest
thing, I've said for many years, is sort of interactive services. . . . It's
like a newspaper with circulation revenue and advertising revenue. It's
obviously a communication company because there's one heck of a lot of people
sending one heck of a lot of messages around the world and it's becoming a
very powerful way to communicate. It's increasingly a commerce company. . . .
It's enabled by technology; whenever it's possible we have integrated
technology to make things easy or accessible or so forth. So it's a little bit
of each of those things.

Q: As part of the recent deal, you acquired a whole bunch of software, which
is not something that you guys were used to doing, selling software to
enterprises. . . . Can you talk a little bit about how that's going to play
out?

A: We haven't been a software-products company but we have been a software-
development company. We probably have 500 or 600 people now developing
software. Indeed, one of the reasons that AOL has been successful is the
innovations we've done on software over the past decade, making things easier
and more accessible for a mass market. . . . The difference with Netscape is
really being in the software-solutions business, enabling companies to build
enterprise solutions, particularly e-commerce solutions. We've done that, too,
because if you look at the deals we've signed in the last couple of years as
we made this shift in our business model and started focusing on advertising
and e-commerce. . . . That's really where the Netscape e-commerce platform
comes in and then the alliance with Sun will give us the ability to talk to
more companies.

Q: Could you talk a little bit about broad-band? It sounds like you think your
subscribers are not going to get on that wave very quickly. So what do you
predict there?

A: A growing number of customers will want high speed and they'll be willing
to pay extra for it and we are committed to providing those customers with a
series of broad-band choices. . . . At the same time, we don't expect it to be
an overnight phenomenon. . . . Our vision for broad-band is that it is an
evolutionary component of this emerging interactive medium and that the best
way to think of it is an upgrade market. . . . Well, if it's an upgrade
market, the most successful way to jump-start that market is to go to existing
customers and say, "Would you like your service to be faster? Would you be
willing to pay extra for it?". . . We, a company like AOL, and others that
already have a customer base, are the logical marketers of broad-band
services.

Q: Why is it not a good argument that the deal you made with Netscape and Sun
. . . could be a real threat to Microsoft?

A: A number of things we are doing are competing with things Microsoft is
doing, and if we step up our activity here it will result in more competition
with Microsoft. That's true in the portal space. The acquisition of Netscape
makes us more competitive in the Web portal side which therefore makes more
competition for the Microsofts and Yahoo's and Excite's and so forth. . . .
But nothing we are doing is competitive with Microsoft's Windows operating
system. And the (antitrust) case, best I can tell, is exclusively about
determining "Is Windows a monopoly and, if so, is Microsoft leveraging that
monopoly illegally?". . . So it would seem to me that what we're doing with
Netscape would have no bearing on the case from a practical standpoint. I
don't know what impact it would have from a legal standpoint.

Q: Let's talk about the portal business for a while. Even before the AOL-
Netscape merger announcement, Netscape was busy increasing the amount of pop-
up menus and ads - basically, marketing - that users of its browser and
visitors to the Netcenter site experience, in much the same way that AOL has
done that for years. Is that the future of life on the Web?

A: No, I wouldn't say that. . . . We do pop-ups and if you don't want to see
pop-ups you can turn them off. I actually thought Netscape Netcenter was
overdoing it on pop-ups.

I know coming from AOL that sounds a little bizarre.

Q: PCs are not going to disappear tomorrow but, as devices pick up, there's
sort of a debate between people who talk about a PC-centric . . . and a
network-centric view, sort of broadly aligned with Microsoft and Sun. Which .
. .?

A: Neither. We respect both but we actually think the consumer-centric view is
better than the technology-centric view. . . . I hate to say it because it
always sounds arrogant.. . . But there is one benefit of not residing in
Silicon Valley. . . . There is a tendency to be overly enthusiastic about the
latest, greatest thing and sometime lose sight of the fact that in the
consumer world, technology really is a means to an end. And it matters less
what it is or how it works and it matters more how does it improve your life?