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To: Bob Frasca who wrote (20421)1/27/1999 8:14:00 AM
From: Kelly Igou  Respond to of 29386
 
**OT**

Back in the late 40's the CEO at IBM made the statement that he could not foresee the need for more than a couple dozen computers in the entire world - ever. His statement was based on the then-current realities of computing. The realities at that time were:

1) It took extremely highly skilled technicians to wire the computers;
2) It took a long time to re-wire for another use;
3) Consequently, since the cost of computing was so high that the computing problems "worthy" of computers were few and far between, and largely mathematical or scientific in nature.

Of course that was before some of the most important theoretical advancements had been achieved, chief among them Von Neumann and the stored program concept, which made programs storable, and repeatable, and introduced the idea that data should be stored independently and apart from the program itself.

Once computing had absorbed this concept, and computing became more economical, other uses began to appear.

We all know where that has led us.



To: Bob Frasca who wrote (20421)1/27/1999 8:54:00 AM
From: Arthur  Respond to of 29386
 
**OT**

>"Wasen't it a former CEO of IBM that once said 'why would anyone
> have need of a computer"

Famous quotes:

"Computers in the future may weigh no more than 1.5 tons."
--Popular Mechanics, forecasting the relentless march of science,
1949

"I think there is a world market for maybe five computers.'
--Thomas Watson, chairman of IBM, 1943

"I have traveled the length and breadth of this country and talked
with the best people, and I can assure you that data processing is
a fad that won't last out the year."
--The editor in charge of business books for Prentice Hall, 1957

"But what ... is it good for?"
--Engineer at the Advanced Computing Systems Division of IBM,
1968,commenting on the microchip.

"There is no reason anyone would want a computer in their home."
--Ken Olson, president, chairman and founder of Digital Equipment
Corp.,1977

"This 'telephone' has too many shortcomings to be seriously
considered as a means of communication. The device is inherently
of no value to us."
--Western Union internal memo, 1876.

"640K ought to be enough for anybody."
--Bill Gates, 1981

Art



To: Bob Frasca who wrote (20421)1/27/1999 5:19:00 PM
From: nic  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 29386
 
OT - Wasen't it a former CEO of IBM...

Kelly, I think the infamous estimate of worldwide demand for electronic computers by IBM's CEO was actually as low as five - one for each nuclear program. We've come a long way since then!

- nic

PS: Posted before catching up with the thread. Oh well.