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Technology Stocks : Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Glenn D. Rudolph who wrote (37081)1/27/1999 9:14:00 AM
From: T-Lo Greens  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 164684
 
Glenn, I believe the valuation for AMZN is outrageous. Yes I am a long, but I would never pay these current prices for AMZN. I'm looking for an exit point to put my money in to something with better value. If AMZN hits anything above $140 near-term I will have to declare those who bought are either gamblers or idiots or both.

I'm also long BKS, but I believe in their business model.



To: Glenn D. Rudolph who wrote (37081)1/27/1999 3:30:00 PM
From: Alomex  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 164684
 

I tend to agree that the trend is down but I only wish to say that prior to all the splits I shorted around $80. A friend of mine said would you cover if it went to $100. I said no. What about $150. I said no. He and I said 200 is impossible. It went to $1200.

Wow. You have always been a brave bear. I too consider this stock overvalued, but I still don't agree with your take that this company will end up in chapter 11. I still think the most viable scenario is a middle of the road succesful retailer/catalogue seller (which happens to sell on the Web). Final valuation: somewhere similar to Sears, or Land's End.

Bears both in this thread and in Yahoo's were fond of predictions that they would never ever earn a profit. Well, as sales figures increased Yahoo margins improved rapidly and it now earns a modest profit. Yet Amazon was unable to put a dent on their losses on the face of extraordinary succesfull selling season. This suggests that they are selling each item at a loss and not "losing money beacuse they are financing expansion" as the Motley Fool is so fond of saying.