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To: Platter who wrote (35944)1/27/1999 12:24:00 PM
From: A. Geiche  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 95453
 
Platter, how come CBS shows the February crude at steady 11.81 all day today (down 27), while March heating oil, gasoline, NG are all up and keep changing substantially?



To: Platter who wrote (35944)1/27/1999 12:28:00 PM
From: Crimson Ghost  Respond to of 95453
 
Finally some potentially very good news for OS investors. Saudis may be willing to cut soon. And from the horse's mouth no less.

The following is from the Iranian web site. A source that few Americans follow I suspect.


thr 030
opec cuts-cges
market analyst proposes opec cut to bolster prices
london, jan. 27, irna - a further cut of 1 million barrels per day by
opec would push the average price of benchmark brent oil up to 15
dollars per barrel by the end of the year, according to the center
for global energy studies.
but doing nothing, it suggested, rates would stay at around 11
dpb and with weaker demand, even averaging only 9 dpb.
in its latest monthly report, the center, headed by former saudi
oil minister zaki yamani, believed that saudi arabia may be amenable
to an across-the-board cut, but only if other opec members deliver on
their pledges.
although it suggested that in the current economic climate,
saudi arabia's real objective is to preserve its market share, it
said that the planned visit by u.s. energy secretary bill richardson
could alter its policy.
"rumour has it the kingdom will be urged to bolster prices," cges
said.
its view was that the modest recovery in oil prices since
december would only be a temporary respite because fundamentals were
still too weak to stage a sustained rally.
the price scenarios put forward was that rates would remain
relatively flat at around 11 dpb for brent crude for most of 1999,
rising by only 1 dpb in the fourth quarter. this would be with opec
output staying around 27 mbpd.
with weaker demand growth of just 1 per cent, the monthly report
suggested that prices could continue to decline to less than 9 dpb by
the end of the year.
in comparison, if opec cut a further 1 mbpd from its current
level with effect from the second quarter, brent would rise to 13.2
dpb in the third quarter and to 15.3 dpb in the fourth, yielding an
annual average of 12.7 dpb, it said.
hc/ks
end
::irna 27/01/99 14:45