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To: lorne who wrote (27204)1/28/1999 8:29:00 AM
From: Gord Bolton  Respond to of 116762
 
Commodity prices rally in January, but worst is not over, say TD economists

TORONTO, Jan. 28 /CNW/ - A rally in lumber, nickel and crude oil prices
led to a modest rebound in commodity prices in January 1999 from the lows
reached in December 1998, say TD Economists in the latest issue of TD
Commodity Price Report. ''Although 1999 began on a somewhat stronger note,
this year is shaping up to be another very difficult one for Canadian
commodity producers,'' notes Teresa Courchene, Director of Economic Research
at TD Bank Financial Group.
The TD Commodity Price Index (TDCI) in U.S. dollars, which tracks the
prices of Canada's major commodity exports, rose by 1 per cent in January,
following a drop of 4.1 per cent in December 1998. Nonetheless, commodity
prices in U.S.-dollar terms are still 8 per cent below their January 1998
levels, say TD Economists.
''Over the past 18 months, commodity prices have plummeted in the wake of
the Asian economic and financial crisis and the subsequent drop in demand for
most commodities,'' notes Courchene. ''Although economic reforms are being
undertaken in a number of the affected countries, many developing economies in
Asia -- and in Latin America -- will continue to struggle this year. In
addition, a slowdown in economic growth in the industrialized countries will
keep commodity prices under downward pressure in the coming months.''
TD Economists note that with global economic growth expected to be a
lacklustre 1.4 per cent in real terms in 1999 -- a sustained recovery in world
commodity prices is not likely to occur until late this year or early next
year. ''Overall, commodity prices are expected to decline on average in 1999,
and then begin to climb in the year 2000,'' says Courchene.

Commodity Price Highlights

- Lumber prices, which fell sharply throughout most of 1998, have
rebounded markedly since November. The rally was sparked by concerns
that Canadian lumber shipments to the United States may be curtailed
over the next two months as producers limit exports to stay within
their duty-free export quotas.

- Newsprint prices, which actually increased over the course of 1998,
declined in December and January, partly as a result of increased
production following the end of a prolonged strike at the Canadian
mills of Abitibi-Consolidated.

- Prices for West Texas Intermediate crude oil, which rose above US$13
per barrel during the cold snap in early January, slipped to US$12 per
barrel when the weather turned milder across North America in
mid-month. The failure of OPEC members to adhere to the production
cutbacks announced over the past year has kept crude oil prices low.

- Although nickel prices, which sustained the deepest losses among base
metals last year, rebounded in early 1999, they may come under renewed
downward pressure when production from new mines in Australia comes on
stream in the coming months.

- The price of gold, which averaged US$294 per ounce in 1998 -- the
lowest annual level recorded in two decades -- fell below US$290 per
ounce in January 1999.

- Agricultural prices rose modestly in early 1999, as hog prices staged a
strong rebound.

This report, TD Commodity Price Report (including charts and detailed
tables), is available in PDF format on TD Economics' new Home Page at:
tdbank.ca. Click on TD Economics.

For a fax copy of this report (8 pages), please call (416) 982-8065

-30-

For further information: Teresa Courchene, Director, Economic Research,
(416) 982-8064

TORONTO DOMINION BANK



To: lorne who wrote (27204)1/28/1999 3:39:00 PM
From: Alex  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 116762
 
1/28/99 - German bank made two million euros with stolen Nazi gold

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BONN, Jan 28 (AFP) - Germany"s third largest private bank, the Dresdner Bank, made more than two million euros (2.3 million dollars) profit on gold stolen from Holocaust victims, the daily Die Welt, due out Friday, said.

The daily cited a report by the Hanna-Arendt Institute in the eastern city of Dresden, which was commissioned in 1997 by the bank to look into its activities dring the 1933-45 Nazi period.

The report, handed over to the Dresdner Bank, said the bank had carried out transactions involving some 30 gold ingots belonging to Holocaust victims.

Stefan Lutz, a spokesman for the bank, said only that the bank was "rather disppointed that this affair has leaked out."

Die Welt said that the Deutsche Bank, the largest private bank in the country, admitted last year that it had 323 kilos (710 pounds) of gold from victims of the Nazi regime in its reserves.

It added that Dresdner Bank was expected to decide what to do with the profits from the stolen gold on Friday.

Deutsche Bank may create a fund of several million euros (dollars) to compensate Jewish victims of the Holocaust, the weekly Wirtschaftswoche said Thursday.