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To: Tom Hua who wrote (5636)1/28/1999 4:01:00 PM
From: zurdo  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 27722
 
Tom,
NAVR has not needed an IPO announcement to go up 2 points in the past...I believe it will be considerably more than that....However, we shall see...



To: Tom Hua who wrote (5636)1/29/1999 11:32:00 AM
From: AJ Berger  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 27722
 
Tom's no Bear, just a DayTrader

I'm glad he contributed recently to this thead, and appreciate his point of view,
let's review the life of an IPO play thru the eyes of a DayTrader.
You can use MALL/UBID or DBCC/MKWT as perfect examples:

There are 4 distinct points Long and Short that interest
daytraders when trading IPO Parent Companies:

LONG as IPO announcment rumor Waxes
SHORT as IPO announcment rumor Wanes
LONG into actual IPO announcement
SHORT between announcement and the week prior to actual IPO
LONG into IPO release week
SHORT just PRIOR to actual IPO release
LONG the week after IPO, when there are more suckers
who are holding at a higher price, that the few buyers
have to bid up the price in order to shake any loose.
SHORT when volume and press in this play finally dries up.

While buy and hold types hope to double or triple their
money here, Daytraders can not only make a great deal more
money with less risk, but have their cash free to take
advantage of trading opportunities elsewhere. They also
benefit from 4 distinct trading opportunities, so should
any IPO deal fall thru at any point, they've already got
profits, while the buy and holders are losing. DayTrading
is a full time pursuit, that many casual traders here can
not afford to pursue. So give people like Tom some room
to level with us, as it's traders like him that help to
exaggerate the stock movements, and our profits as well.

Don't be surprised to see a weak close on NAVR today as
Daytraders also hate holding positions over the weekend.