To: Eric P who wrote (717 ) 1/29/1999 12:17:00 AM From: Lel H Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 1906
Here's a differing opinion on the value of after-hours quotes. The author is David Gardner, who has something to do with Motley Fool. The words below are not mine; any perceived snippiness is from the original author. (From the Iomega board at Motley Fool) I'm reading all sorts of stuff (way too many posts, in this case) about after-hours quotes. We ignore after-hours trading, which is low-volume and usually not particular "accurate" or indicative of a stock's trading the next day. In fact, in my experience it has often been a tremendous reverse indicator! I'm constantly reading after-hours quotes from people who (I guess) just can't get enough of quoting their stocks minute by minute during the day. For years now, I have heard about and watched people quote "after-hours" quotes for companies that have announced earnings, only to smile the next day when the actual quotes by noon, say, were the complete opposite of what everyone was saying the night before. I remember in particular being told two years ago after an earnings report that AOL was "way down" in after-hours trading, 7 bucks or so, and then the stock opened up the next day and closed with a $4 gain. What was that about after-hours? It only takes a few of those experiences (I've had many more) to make it plain how useful such data is. Just Wednesday, as I recall, the after-hours quotes monkeys (they do appear as active as monkeys!) had Amazon up $3, after its horrible drop that day of $26. This was supposedly some comfort to Amazon shareholders. The stock opened yesterday (Thursday) down 10 bucks, and closed off $7 for the day. These quotes are (are, or aren't, doesn't matter) worth the ether they're printed on. From an overall investment standpoint, any Foolish investor will put no stock (literally) in such quotes, the Foolish investor having something close to disdain for any sort of concentration on silly short-term movements, up or down. That wasn't meant to be snooty, but sometimes I have to step the ol' language-o-meter up a notch to restate our long-term patience in the face of what is, by comparison, spasmodic emotional reactions to upticks and downticks... ephemerality epitomized. Foolish best wishes, David Gardner