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Pastimes : The Naked Truth - Big Kahuna a Myth -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Lucretius who wrote (17176)1/28/1999 7:57:00 PM
From: Copeland  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 86076
 
In the second half 1987, the economy accelerated sharply beyond the predictions made for the GDP. I can't remember exactly what the news was on the inflation front -- wasn't there a reported rise in labor costs and commodities prices prior to the GDP report or afterwards?

Oh, well. One could make the case that if the GDP figures are super hot, Greenspan won't cut rates, which would cause people to jump out of the market because it means a temporarily cessation in the Fed's printing presses. Likewise, the pundits will say that the Fed's cessation was already factored in the market and that all is well in tulip-land OR that it's signs that that market will continue to grow because America's economy is red-hot.

I do expect some sort sell off now that earnings season is essentially over -- you don't need to be an Elliotician to see that; that's why I bought puts. Whether or not this will snowball into a Big Kahuna is questionable.

Bobby Beara did bring up the fact that the Ohama Titanic sell indicator lit up early this week. Even superbull Bob Brinker has started to advocate staying out of the market until the S&P corrects somewhat.



To: Lucretius who wrote (17176)1/28/1999 7:59:00 PM
From: Copeland  Respond to of 86076
 
Sell our puts? If you're wrong, they'll be worth more as wallpaper.