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Technology Stocks : CheckFree Holdings Corp. (CKFR), the next Dell, Intel? -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Harry Franks who wrote (2066)1/29/1999 3:35:00 AM
From: TLindt  Respond to of 20297
 
>>>we may have a "Gorilla" stock.

Caught you....late night posting, well actually not. It's day time over there.

That's why A.W., myself and some others have nick named the stock a while back....'checkmonkey'. Tuna...Didn't Work....But, yes...you could be right, probably are IMO....at least a baby Gorilla.

Remember...the early bird gets the worm....but the guy with a flash light and garden hose gets all the night crawlers.



To: Harry Franks who wrote (2066)1/29/1999 6:10:00 AM
From: TLindt  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 20297
 
More from your Article....

The gorilla game involves learning how to spot industries that might give rise to gorillas and to learn when to invest in these industries so as to minimize the risks but still capture a significant share of the gains. For the investor, three periods are crucial: the chasm, the bowling alley, and the tornado. The chasm represents the market after the early adopters have jumped on board but the more pragmatic buyers (the "herd") remain reluctant to commit to the new innovation and older industry players try to belittle the upstart's offerings. The bowling alley is the first step after crossing the chasm, the point when a new product penetrates whole niches of a larger market. The tornado represents the market stage when a product moves beyond these niches, proliferating in the mainstream mass market.

A gorilla game investor gets interested when the market enters hypergrowth, such as significant sequential quarterly growth combined with 100% or more year-over-year growth. The authors recommended buying application software companies during the bowling alley phase while waiting until the tornado for companies selling enabling technology, such as an operating system. But they say an investor should buy an entire basket of stocks (usually two to four) representing all the companies with a good shot at becoming the gorilla. The goal then is to look for signs of the emerging gorilla, usually selling off the also-rans (called chimps) as they drop out of the competition. An investor should consolidate the money from those stocks into the remaining candidates until only the gorilla remains. The gorilla should then be held for the long term, until an entirely new product category seriously threatens to end its rule.


Only problem with playing the Gorllia game in EBPP? There's only one Monkey you can buy as a pure-play. The rest are diluted, very small, or very small and private....ie They're already chimps.

My Money is on the Monkey, being the G.O.R.I.L.L.A....but I own a few Chimps Too.

And if you follow the theory in the game...the phases? CheckFree is taking EBPP to Bowling Alley Phase.....with this Portal Stuff. I can't wait for Tornado....



To: Harry Franks who wrote (2066)1/29/1999 6:55:00 AM
From: zuma_rk  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 20297
 
Harry --

Before you kill your Quicken Visa --

I have the same card, and even though they are not presenting bills electronically, you CAN download all your transaction details and pay your bill directly through Quicken (using "one-Step Update") -- I haven't found another credit card where you can do this yet (other than American Express).

Just MHO -- RK



To: Harry Franks who wrote (2066)1/29/1999 7:43:00 PM
From: Garland M Baker  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 20297
 
Harry. Even before I read your post, I've spent all day re-redoing all my banking to online Checkfree and online Billsfree to do my part to feed the Gorilla. Your right on and I'm going to buy the book too.



To: Harry Franks who wrote (2066)2/1/1999 2:02:00 PM
From: Roger Bass  Respond to of 20297
 
Your question: 'Is checkfree a "Gorilla"? ' is an interesting one.

The authors of The Gorilla Game do not believe that Gorillas can exist in service businesses, which would exclude CheckFree. However, I'm not so sure they're right.

See this article by Bill Gurley on a discontinuity in the way technology functionality is being deployed. It may point to a way in which certain categories of services (probably not including the Yahoos and Amazons of the world) create technology that is not resold, and which certain customers/partners 'build-in'.

news.com

An alternative way of looking at the kind of competitive advantage CheckFree has, is to think of Visa. Payment systems are a special kind of network, where hubs control chains of end-to-end relationships, and hard to displace.

- Roger