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Gold/Mining/Energy : Strictly: Drilling and oil-field services -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Mark Glembocki who wrote (36293)1/30/1999 8:45:00 AM
From: Thomas J Pittman  Respond to of 95453
 
Mark,

Thanks for your comments. Yeah, I figured not to be
particularly popular with that post and have been
busy with responses (public and private). That is
what SI is for :) .

You are exactly right about the long termers. I am
one myself. I think most of the folks on this thread,
if they are buying right now, will certainly make money
over some period. There is a lot of good work evidenced
by the posts here. You mention slider and platter and
I admit those are two whose posts I find myself gravitating
towards as well.

Thanks for your comments

As far as lrcx goes (cautionary statement: I am a shareholder
in lrcx and other semi-equip stocks and, at this point am
certainly NOT advocating purchase (or sale) ).

The upgrades were, again my view, almost entirely due to
comments made by CEO Jim Bagley after market close on Thursday.
Those comments dealt with reviving Asian orders, new
technologies including copper, effects of cost cutting / out-
sourcing / synergies from acquisitions, and other quite
positive forward looking comments. These, coupled with
similar statements from other companies in the industry
have led to the upgrades. The analysts, of course, missed
the rise from 9 to 36, as you pointed out. I cant explain
that. I was not a buyer at 9, but did purchase between
12 and 17 both on the way down and on the way up in addition
to my holdings that were already in place.

For more detail, visit the lam research thread. Duker
posted wonderful conference call notes.



To: Mark Glembocki who wrote (36293)1/30/1999 1:07:00 PM
From: dfloydr  Respond to of 95453
 
Your LRCX question underlines your point. In 3Q97 it was $60. This past October it was $8. Now that it is up to $32, analysts are recommending it. The run up from $8 to $32 was a whopping gain for those who got in last October ...

I sort of doubt there are many analysts who are going to recommend oil/service at these levels ... too much of a career risk and probably not a lot of new business to be had by sticking their neck out yet.