To: Berney who wrote (5315 ) 1/30/1999 4:47:00 AM From: MonsieurGonzo Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 11051
Berney; RE:" That Was The Week That Was " >it's hard to ignore that we had a break-out on both the S&P and the OEX. So, fellow dudes, what do you think ? OEX UpTrend is intact ...OEX resistance = 635~640 OEX.X near target = ~660 , +3%OEX.X far target = ~690 , +7.8% relative YTD sector strength: (1) XBD.X +29% ....BKX.X +0.0% = total NF.X also ....IUX.X -2.0% (2) NDX.X +17% (3) PNX.X +6% ....OEX = +5.75% (4) RLX.X +4.8% ....SPY = +3.75% (5) DRG.X +0.0% (6) MID.X -3.8% Looks like a Bull Market being led by TechSpaetzles + Telco BigBoyz with: emphasis on large-cap stocks; de-emphasis of drugz; and, anxiety about financial stox. XBD Brokers often surge during the latter stages of long UpTrends but, that sector also has "internet" speculators now. Somewhat resembles last June~July, especially if the smaller-caps continue to diverge (lag or, decay) from the major market. T/A-wise, OEX momentum was decreasing from week 1 to week 3, breaking a three-month mo UpTrend; and mo has now begun to go back up, breaking a three-week DownTrend. Kapital liquidity appears to still have a positive flow. Even more important are the apparent, new increases in kapital (equipment) investments - with the exception of energy, metals and agricultural sectors, in which huge world-wide surpluses have yet to be absorbed. Affected American industrials (like energy/metals/agri) tend to become more "fit" as they focus upon increasing margins in the face of declining revenue growth rates - so when things inevitably change, they eventually do enjoy the fruits borne after weeding their gardens. EU industrials have never been able to do this. Japanese industrials have never had to do this, so nobody knows what they will do. Globally it is interesting to note that the EU is negative YTD, as well as LatAm... but that Asia is holding up well and curiously, Canada appears to be recovering from its severe recession. -Steve