To: Richard F Hanover who wrote (92990 ) 1/30/1999 2:30:00 PM From: Jake0302 Respond to of 176387
Richard, your options moves are *absolutely* right. I am no expert, and this is all FWIW.... but... an option newsletter that I follow has rules... one says to always sell when you go over 100% profit... when you take a profit, no one can take it away from you (except the government at 39% or whatever)... if you still like the play, then buy at a higher strike price... exactly what you did. I have used this technique several times in the last month, to very good effect, shifting between big gains in MSFT, AOL, DELL options. This has allowed me to shift gains from one option into another, until, now I am heavily concentrated in DELL anticipating the run to Feb 16 earnings. Made a great gain on Friday too. On my options trading pool, I have made a 400% gain in January, and I expect to put all that, or at least most of it, back into cash on or about Feb 17... which leads me to the second part of your question: hold over earnings/ stock split? I personally am planning to hold over earnings (which is NOT advisable) for two reasons - Earnings will be absolutely steller, with unexpected growth demonstrated in server sales and in foreign sales - Split at around 110 is almost a sure thing. MSFT, INTC, AOL, IBM, AMGN, YHOO, EBAY are all splitting. Mike is NOT going to miss the party. When we blow earnings out and a split is announced, the stock will probably gap up the next day, like AOL and MSFT, even though some stocks (IBM) saw a different result. In our case, earnings are going to tell a story of phenomenal continued growth, which will attract more institutions, and the splitsky will attract JOE DOUBLECLICK the new force in the market. And here is another thought: Look at the DELL chart in August. That's right, August, when the market tanked hard. DELL held up. We are going to correct in late Feb/ March. It is just in the cards. But, that said, where do you want to be if the market is almost certainly going to dip? That's right, in a stock that has just announced a stock split and awesome earnings and that fared far better than average in the last global currency crisis. DELL. By Feb 17, I see this stock at 115-120. 110-115 on Feb 16. I love the effect of gap ups on options prices. It smells like... victory!