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Technology Stocks : Ampex Corporation (AEXCA) -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Alan Cassaro who wrote (5012)1/30/1999 3:27:00 PM
From: Carl R.  Respond to of 17679
 
Yes Al, I personally can claim to have introduced two buyers to AXC, as well as a few others who did not.

I am still kicking myself for being too slow at buying more shares Friday when the market makers took out the stops under 4. I saw it drop, and tried to get an order in, but by the time I got there the price was back to 4 1/2. Those market makers are fast when they want to steal stop orders.

Carl



To: Alan Cassaro who wrote (5012)1/30/1999 3:35:00 PM
From: stan s.  Respond to of 17679
 
For traders utilizing Candlesticks, Monday might indicate some caution. A bearish engulfing line as well as a dark cloud on Friday's close. They can indicate a reversal, albeit hopefully of short duration and not too severe.

No cause for alarm but a cursory glance at Ampex's past trading (with these signals) shows a pause could be in order. If it does stumble, it could allow for some more accumulation at a bargain price...if you like AXC's story.

Here's a brief explanation of the two aforementioned patterns.
iqc.com
iqc.com

Keep in mind a lot of people consider Candlesticks a crock.
I don't but they can be deceptive. With a run up like this...they offer some TA perspective...precious little else exists for the moment, short term anyway.

Good luck,

Stan



To: Alan Cassaro who wrote (5012)1/30/1999 3:37:00 PM
From: Michael Olds  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 17679
 
II. Look what happened when they pulled the plug too. These people just generated froth and suckered a lot of people in who got burnt. This in turn caused a great deal of the downward momentum that followed and caused significant fear and subsequent undervaluation of the stock. It can't be helped of course, but I really do not see that group's interest as a positive development.



To: Alan Cassaro who wrote (5012)1/31/1999 3:05:00 AM
From: Stephen D. Wilson  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 17679
 
Don't give II too much credit. About 2 or 3 months ago, in the "LETTERS" section of II, someone had written in asking about AXC. The editor that responded to the letter told him the AXC was dead in the water and would be a waste of one's time. If I'm able to find that issue again I'll post the exact quote. At the time AXC stock was just below or hovering around $1/sh.

I haven't taken the time to read II's new article on AXC, but I do know that they probably caused one of their faithful readers to miss a good play because they didn't have the faith in AXC that most of us longs have had.

Long since '96

Steve



To: Alan Cassaro who wrote (5012)1/31/1999 5:52:00 AM
From: B. A. Marlow  Read Replies (4) | Respond to of 17679
 
Nice post, Alan C. Here's my "entry." To the Group:

As you know, I'm no hypster.

Have quietly encouraged a number of people to take a look at AXC over the past few weeks, including at least two or three brokers. What I've found is that, even though none has even *heard* of Ampex (alas), all get in. The story is, well, irresistible...

Some anectodal evidence:

"*Invented* the VTR? You're kidding me! Didn't Sony invent that?"

"Profitable, high-tech company with 900 patents and Internet broadcasting technology? At *how much* per share?! What are you smokin', Marlow?!!"

Merely suggested to one acquaintance that he read our board and think about it, and he reported back within 24 hours that he took 6,500 shares at an average of say, $4.375. Thanked me profusely and wasn't at all sure he'd gotten enough!

***

The Internet Investment Landscape

As you know, the Internet investor base is broadening out. A number of brokers have reported to me that even conservative clients are now asking, "What Internet stocks should I buy?" In response, brokers have a very hard time justifying high-priced, *volatile* stocks for which their firms have not put out "Buy" recommendations. Once you get past AOL, there are very few Internet plays that brokers are allowed to recommend. So they put people into "proximity" names like CSCO, DELL, DIS, IBM, INTC, LU, MSFT, ORCL, SUNW, WCOM, and T. Or FDX and BKS. Never can they recommend stocks like AMZN, ATHM, BCST, CMGI, EBAY, GNET, INKT, LCOS, RNWK or YHOO. The reason is simple: mainstream retail brokerages *can't defend their valuations*.

Enter AXC, a 50-year-old tech name with a storied history that just so happens to be an "affordable" Internet investment with big upside potential. A few hundred shares is a real position with little risk. A broker can defend it.

Our Opportunity: A "Roadshow"

My suggestion is that we merely encourage people to come to SI for a presentation unparalleled in the history of "penny stocks," let alone "Internet plays."

And in commemoration of our 5,000th AXC post, on January 30, 1999 at 05:33am (the honor for which goes to N.Wayne Agee! What does he win?!!), here's a marketing hook for the Group's consideration.

Why don't we create a new SI "feature": a "roadshow" thread for AXC lurkers and prospective investors? We can cull from this board a *small* set of key, plain-English posts (say, 36?; especially, those with links). We can cue up our "greatest hits" over the past 18 months and let them roll sequentially, like a set of slides. That way, we can refer people to our "AXC History and Internet Technology Timeline" companion board and let them bring themselves up to speed without wading through every trading day's hiccup. To lurkers, it would be read-only. And we could ask SI members to refrain from posting to it; one of our senior members, say GusO, would be "Chairman of the Board" and "Chief Roadie."

In this way, AXC can present a consistent, clear and compelling story to all who are willing to give us an "Internet hour." In the process, we can both build the AXC shareholder base and take SI to a higher level.

Let's understand something, folks. If we want to go to $40, we need to *make* it happen.

Any interest?

BAM



To: Alan Cassaro who wrote (5012)1/31/1999 2:44:00 PM
From: Ed Perry  Read Replies (3) | Respond to of 17679
 
<<Perhaps you could clarify when the events you describe will begin.>>

Thanks to the comparison suggested by Tom Kirwin on Yohoo, I can clarify my concerns. See:

messages.yahoo.com@m2.yahoo.com

Ampex is still a small company with a headcount of about 500 people. Currently, AXC share price is moving up very rapidly on expectation of new business whose revenue stream (profits are not even thinkable at this moment) is uncertain. Continuation of this momentum can occur only if there is a continuous stream of appropriately paced exciting announcements one after the other coming from these same 500 people (mind you - many of them are in research and engineering).

Since AXC has a large float (40mm compared to 5mm for ITVU and a float certain to increase in the case of AXC), we need bigtime sponsorship from institutional investors. If AXC share price has a markup *SIMILAR* to that of ITVU (8.00 2/17/98 => one day spike to ~30.00 4/21/98), with no significant intervening resting - consolidation periods along the way, then AXC shares will crash and burn just like ITVU did (~30.00 4/21/98 => 7.00 9/1/98).

If there is a presence of such extreme volatility, then AXC will not be attractive to the institutional set and AXC will return to the doghouse. As I read the rush and excitement of the new posters, this almost seems to guarantee this as inevitable. If the wild hopes and greed of new shareholders doesn't do it, then the inevitable follow-on short sellers inducing fear, will.

On the positive side, the large AXC float and the professional Amex auction setting (not as in those unregulated sob MM's on NASDAQ) , may give a more orderly market appreciation to AXC shares. I certainly hope so.

Otherwise, we will ALL be forced into a short term trading mind set and have to settle for much less than optimal profits. I don't like to spoil the party, but the fact is that millionaire makers come from long term holdings of good stocks (good products, good services, good management, good research, good innovation and so on). On the other hand, just as in ITVU, if one thinks that he is going to buy at Monday's open and sell at "30.00" in two months and then buy back at "7.00" in five months ya da da da da da -- da, then he is deluding himself. While, it may be entertaining to try, and there is certainly a large service industry to support this pastime, it just can't be done.

Ed Perry

PS:

N. Wayne Agee: after ITVU spent 3 months in the doghouse in late 1998 share prices have returned to the 25.00 level. From my post of 1/20/98 "Finally, when as many as possible have been discouraged and have left, and it could take awhile, the stage will be set for the next move up."