To: M.R. Davis who wrote (4204 ) 1/31/1999 5:10:00 PM From: Razorbak Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 4761
Five Stages of Grief Mr. Davis: Since you studied psychology at Sheffield, I was wondering if you would comment on a hypothesis that I've been formulating about one of the potential causes of the recent Carnival atmosphere on this thread? In the turnaround biz, I do a lot of work in crisis situations, working with owners and employees of companies in financial distress &/or going rapidly down the tubes. Oftentimes, these people undergo the five stages of grief experienced by those who have recently lost a loved one. Forget for a moment your obviously bullish outlook for 800 Travel Systems, and concentrate specifically on the recent carnival atmosphere on this thread. My hypothesis is that Amigo Sergio (let's call him Amigo Jekyl as a metaphor) has been recently undergoing a metamorphosis into a mean-spirited alter-ego (Amigo Hyde) because he has been traversing through the five stages of grief associated with his recent analysis of IFLY's upside potential on the Three Amigos' thread, acting almost as if he just experienced the death of a loved one. Here is my interpretation: 1) Denial - "Auric Goldfinger is never right, and especially not about this stock!" 2) Anger - "OK, so he was right this time, but it was all luck. And he really pisses me off with his disgusting underhanded tactics!" 3) Bargaining - "Hey guys, if we just ignore Little Shorty, then we'll defeat him at his own game! Better yet, let's visit him at his own thread and see if we can engineer a squeeze so that we cause him pain on his own turf!" 4) Withdrawal - This is the stage where the subject just clams up, goes into his office every morning, closes the door, and doesn't talk to anyone. Then he opens the door at the end of the day, and leaves in complete silence. Hmmm... doesn't appear like we've quite gotten here yet. 5) Acceptance - This is the stage when I usually get called in. This one ain't even on the immediate horizon. Notice that each of the five stages incorporates statements ending in exclamation points. That's not by accident, because grief is predominantly an emotional reaction. My hypothesis is that yon Amigo has been suffering through such a process in complete ignorance. However, I feel quite confident he will pull through given enough time. I just hope he doesn't ruin the Amigo's reputation in the short term. Hopefully the other Amigo's won't let that happen. So what do you think about this hypothesis? Please forget for the time being your feelings about the stock's upside potential, and answer me from a truly psychological perspective. TIA for your considered response. Razor