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To: PaulM who wrote (27427)1/31/1999 9:00:00 PM
From: goldsnow  Respond to of 116762
 
Business: The Economy

Brazil seeks to save real

Brazilians have been rushing to withdraw from their savings accounts

Crucial talks aimed at preventing the collapse of Brazil's
plummeting currency have begun in the capital Brasilia.

The International Monetary Fund (IMF)
and the Brazilian authorities intend to
thrash out a plan to overcome the
atmosphere of panic gripping the
world's eighth-largest economy.

Correspondents say the Brazilian
Government will be keen to persuade the IMF to release
a further instalment of a $41bn loan agreed last year.
Brazil spent the first instalment of the loan package in a
futile attempt to defend the real - devalued two and a half
weeks ago.

There is increasing concern among Brazilians that the
government may use shock tactics such as the
confiscation of savings accounts or the declaration of a
moratorium on debt payments - measures which were
denied on Friday by President Fernando Henrique
Cardoso.

However there was widespread dismay on Sunday at the
announcement that fuel prices are to rise on Monday by
3.5%.

Brazil will do 'whatever is necessary'

Speaking to journalists at the start of the negotiations, a
senior Brazilian Finance Ministry official, Pedro Parente,
said the authorities would do whatever was necessary to
deal with the crisis.

But any measures taken
would be within the normal
realms of fiscal and monetary
policy and there would be no
resort to shock tactics such
as a price freeze, said Mr
Parente.

The BBC Brazil
Correspondent Stephen Cviic
said these comments appear
to suggest that the
government is contemplating,
among other things, a new
round of spending cuts.

The IMF mission, led by Teresa Ter-Minassian, the
fund's assistant director for South America, will want to
discuss two main issues.

Whether or not the central bank should intervene
to prop up the plummeting real, and if so how.

What kind of progress Brazil is making on its
pledge to get its public finances in order.

The talks came as a senior IMF official told world finance
ministers that the devaluation of the Brazilian currency
had gone too far in the past two weeks but that it will
strengthen if the government adopts a clear monetary
policy to restore confidence in the country.

At the World Economic Forum in Davos, the IMF's first
deputy managing director Stanley Fischer said once a
credible monetary policy is in place "the exchange
overshooting will begin to reverse, (and) the currency will
strengthen".

Mr Fischer will himself be arriving in Brasilia for talks on
Monday.

Cardoso mistrusted

For the first time since he came to power in 1995,
President Cardoso is faced by a population much of
which clearly distrusts his economic management, says
our correspondent.

Despite vigorous government denials, rumours of the
government's drastic plans circulated over the weekend,
and the ensuing panic sent the currency plunging below
a key psychological barrier of two reals to the dollar.

Our correspondent says that if Brazil is to have any
chance of avoiding financial collapse, strong international
support will be essential.

news.bbc.co.uk