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To: IceShark who wrote (17441)2/1/1999 4:44:00 PM
From: Lucretius  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 86076
 
<<<LT was saying this same horsecrap every 15 minutes last week.>>>

hey, give a guy a little leeway in calling a major mkt event. Is a couple weeks fudge room too much to ask? (G)




To: IceShark who wrote (17441)2/1/1999 4:54:00 PM
From: John Pitera  Respond to of 86076
 
Ice, <<<<<LT was saying this same horsecrap every 15 minutes last week. How do you think the thread hit the most active list?>>>>

We need someone to always be calling for a crash to prevent us from
having one......it's ALICE through the Looking Glass.....Curiouser and
Curiouser... <<G>>

John



To: IceShark who wrote (17441)2/1/1999 6:02:00 PM
From: Copeland  Respond to of 86076
 
I don't know if we're going to crash, but historically we're entering correction time -- the February hang-over after the December-January party.

I thought it was coming a lot earlier than this and I bought my S&P and NDX puts way too early (week after options expiration), but the chance of a major correction is way too likely now:

1. We're in February. Historically, the month of corrections.

2. Earnings season is pretty much over. What do we rally on?

3. Markets are at or approaching all time highs. P/Es are astronomical.

4. Put-call ratio astronomical.

5. Bond crashing; Rate-sensitive utilities selling off big time now, especially after they crashed through the critical 300 level of support.

6. Major leaders in the market-leading sectors (tech and internet), with the exception of Dell, started to sell off.

7. Short covering in gold today.

8. A Fed reserve meeting tomorrow with no chance of easing rates.

9. Superheated GDP report (ala 1987)

10. Superbulls like Bob Brinker forecasting a 10% correction. Other bulls talking about giving their positions "haircuts."

11. Chartcraft bullish sentiment near pre-October 1987 levels.

If there's an exhaustion gap tomorrow, short the hell out of it. I will.