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Politics : Ask Michael Burke -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Earlie who wrote (45408)2/2/1999 11:26:00 AM
From: Mike M2  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 132070
 
Earlie, the world is full of bounders, scoundrels and bloody rogues.-g- ho ho ho Mike



To: Earlie who wrote (45408)2/2/1999 12:49:00 PM
From: Peter Singleton  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 132070
 
Earlie,

<<You are 100% accurate about the negative PC revs. for 1998. As you note,
it is a struggle to get people to recognize this fact. It has been even
more of a struggle to get them to recognize the massive implications of
this rather historic event and even tougher to get them to be concerned
about it.>>

If there's any wisp and shred of sanity in the equity markets, this should be the iceberg that brings the bubble market down. The sheriff's knock on the door ...

We'll see, won't we ...

Peter



To: Earlie who wrote (45408)2/2/1999 1:25:00 PM
From: Peter Singleton  Respond to of 132070
 
Earlie,

you're forgetting one thing. The stock market discounts *future* earnings. Big revenues and profits are coming. Today's no big deal. <g>

Check out Scott McNealy's comments in Davos over the weekend. He's saying he's not sure he's going to be building a whole lotta boxes come 2000, due to risks in his supply chain. No joke. <ng>

key quote:

<<Separately, Scott McNealy, chief executive of Sun Microsystems, said
that Asian companies making PCs and computer components lagged the US
and Europe by several years in dealing with the bug.
Advising consumers to ''buy lots of computers in the second half of this
year,'' he warned of severe supply problems after the turn of the
century.
''We believe Asia is way, way behind,'' Mr McNealy said at the WEF
annual meeting. ''Intel, Sun and Hewlett Packard have done quite similar
surveys of their supply base in Asia and they confirm the region is
significantly behind in dealing with the problem.''>>

courtesy Y2K Impact thread:

Message 7600630

MILLENNIUM BUG 'COULD END WALL STREET BULL RUN'
By JEREMY WARNER in DAVOS, SWITZERLAND
The millennium bug could prove to be the shock that ends Wall Street's
12-year bull market, a senior US economist warned yesterday (Monday).
Edward Yardeni, chief economist of Deutsche Bank Securities in the US,
told participants at the World Economic Forum in Davos, Switzerland,
that a build-up of negative news on the year 2000 problem might cause
stock markets to dive.
Separately, Scott McNealy, chief executive of Sun Microsystems, said
that Asian companies making PCs and computer components lagged the US
and Europe by several years in dealing with the bug.
Advising consumers to ''buy lots of computers in the second half of this
year,'' he warned of severe supply problems after the turn of the
century.
''We believe Asia is way, way behind,'' Mr McNealy said at the WEF
annual meeting. ''Intel, Sun and Hewlett Packard have done quite similar
surveys of their supply base in Asia and they confirm the region is
significantly behind in dealing with the problem.''
However, the effects of the bug were played down by Bill Gates, head of
Microsoft, who said he thought the problem had been much exaggerated by
the press. There were bound to be some problems, he conceded, but he did
not foresee a general systemic breakdown.
Mr Yardeni predicted a build-up of bad news on the bug from June onwards
as companies began to make their SEC filings on whether they were
millennium bug compliant.
''There are already 34 millennium bug lawsuits outstanding in the US and
we'll see a lot more of that,'' he said.
Mr Yardeni said he thought the present euphoria in Internet stocks was
symptomatic of ''one of the greatest speculative bubbles on Wall Street
of all time''.
''If the stock market dives, which I think it will do in the second half
of this year, then it will take the US consumer and economy with it,''
he warned.
''I don't know when exactly it will top, but I have no problem at all
with lightening up and taking profits right now,'' he added.
A number of executives from the computer and Internet industries said
that they thought the frenzy in Internet stocks was casting a cloud over
legitimate high-growth companies.

//copyright 1999 The Independent, London



To: Earlie who wrote (45408)2/2/1999 10:24:00 PM
From: Knighty Tin  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 132070
 
Earlie, But I think revenues are negative even with the routers and servers, toasters and coupons to AMC theaters. <G>

MB