To: Scott Pedigo who wrote (5149 ) 2/3/1999 4:01:00 AM From: B. A. Marlow Respond to of 17679
Many thanks, Scott. It's the spirit of discourse that makes us proud. You're hot on the trail of "good business." And we have it all in this sandbox. You raise an interesting question concerning the relationship between "stock promotion" and "pyramiding." In my experience, the answer is this: There is both no difference and a world of difference. Let's take a closer look. First, we should agree that *all* matters having to do with money are "games." But thereafter, distinctions count. For this adventure, we'll eliminate games that are "zero-sum." In these, someone wins and someone loses. While gambling and fraud are its chief proponents, what we generally refer to as "investing" lives in a different domain. Still, legitimate financial activities can also be zero-sum. Options, in particular, represent a nearly perfect picture of the zero-sum dynamic. So, we come to stock investing. Here, the operative notion is that of "rising expectations." In turn, this concept is a proxy for "social confidence," and suggests why investing and capitalism are inextricably linked. The key distinction between the theory of investing and that of the Ponzi scheme is the empirical role played by *intrinsic value*. One never really *owns* anything in a pyramid game. Although I'm not an engineer, I believe I can postulate that the "laws of physics" apply. Where all "multi-level marketing" promotions and "chain letters" will eventually hit a proverbial brick wall, market-economy investing, while imperfect, has worked quite well for more than a century. The reason is that no law of physics need be violated for a good investment to produce *results*. As long as expectations can rise, a stock's price can rise. And the driver of the bus is *productivity.* Market-economy investing is, therefore, "Win-Win." While our society forbids you from profiting at the expense of another whose participation is secured by deceitful means, you may always offer a business idea, subject to a prospective investor's due diligence and your fair and full disclosure. In doing so, you are potentially empowering a person to act on his or her own behalf. In a democracy, you might even consider this an obligation. For many, the alternative is to consign their fate to the "Wise": anonymous mutual fund managers who, more than 90 percent of the time, will fail to perform as well as the market at large. Don't your correspondents deserve better? And of course, in no way does your contribution imply the absence of volatility or risk. Even though bad investments might indeed be the fault of "clueless investors," these are not people to whom you would knowingly provide information, let alone advice. In the end, and as always, "good business" is a question of character. As someone once said, "Character matters..." BAM