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To: Mike Perras who wrote (141)2/5/1999 11:37:00 PM
From: MARIO PASQUA  Respond to of 174
 
The valve is closing...
get your beach towel

BEIJING (Nikkei)--China's suspension of its long-standing
exports of Daqing crude oil to Japan is a sign that the Beijing
government's priorities have shifted to domestic interests,
analysts say.

Last fall, Beijing stunned the international financial community
with its announcement that it would liquidate the ailing
Guangdong International Trust and Investment Corp., a major
nonbank financial institution saddled with nonperforming debts.

Behind Beijing's firm stance of protecting domestic interests is a
tough economic environment, including a worsening balance of
trade and delays in reforming state-run companies.

If China further strengthens its emphasis on the domestic
economy, however, it could alienate foreign capital that has
sustained China's rapid economic growth, exacerbating
economic uncertainty.

Beijing's major concern is a deteriorating trade balance, which
could erode its vast foreign-currency reserves totaling 145 billion
dollars as of the end of 1998.

China's exports have slowed significantly, posting a year-on-year
increase of a mere 0.5% for 1998. Last October, the country
banned spot imports of crude oil and also restricted imports of
raw materials, including flat glass and steel products.

In the case of Daqing crude oil, Beijing apparently concluded
that its economy will benefit more from using the crude oil at
home than from exporting it to Japan for hard currency, analysts
say.

(The Nihon Keizai Shimbun Saturday morning edition)



To: Mike Perras who wrote (141)2/5/1999 11:39:00 PM
From: MARIO PASQUA  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 174
 
Saturday, February 6, 1999
Indonesian Crude-Oil Price Rises On
China's Export Cutoff

TOKYO (Nikkei)--A cutoff in crude-oil shipments from China
has sent the price of Indonesian crude-oil exports to Japan
soaring as Japanese power companies scramble to replace
China's Daqing crude with Indonesian substitutes and C fuel oil
refined at home.

For February shipments, the premium on standard Indonesian
crude oil rose to 50-60 cents per barrel, up from minus 10 cents
to zero at the end of last year.

The prices of Japan-bound Indonesian crude oil are computed
by adding premiums to standard prices Indonesia submits every
month. The premiums are determined by the daily
supply-demand balance.

Prices of crude oil from Vietnam and other Southeast Asian
producers may temporarily rise in the future, market insiders say.
The supply-demand balance in the worldwide oil market has
been lax, however, and the prices of crude oil from the Middle
East, Europe and the U.S. are not likely to rise, according to one
observer at a Japanese trading house.

But if the suspension of Daqing crude exports continues into the
summer, it could raise prices of oil from countries other than
Indonesia, squeezing the earnings of Japan's electric utilities.

The nine power companies imported 3 million kiloliters of Daqing
crude in fiscal 1997, accounting for some 30% of the imported
crude oil consumed for thermal power generation.

(The Nihon Keizai Shimbun Saturday morning edition)