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Strategies & Market Trends : LastShadow's Position Trading -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Thomas Sterner who wrote (7713)2/2/1999 9:40:00 PM
From: Dave Shares  Respond to of 43080
 
Long Possibilities

CCRD 53 5/8
NETG 21 11/16
NTBK 49 7/8
MARG 12 1/2

Short Possibilities

BEN 32 1/4
FLEX 36 1/2
NETA 49 5/8
MVSN 32 3/8

I am only posting relatively high priced stocks (>$25)
for short possibilities, but I would note that MUEI came
up as one of the short candidates. It closed terribly.

David



To: Thomas Sterner who wrote (7713)2/2/1999 10:00:00 PM
From: LastShadow  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 43080
 
The SPX

I've spent some time tonight looking at the mutuals and the SPX charts. Here is a brief history:

Starting in Jan 97, the market rose about 10% and corrected down 8%

From April 97 through July of 98 the SPX rose in three runs with two
horizontal corrections that lasted 6 and 3 months, for a 60% gain.

Beginning Mid July through October 8, 1998, the market fell, with one bounce, for a total of 34%.

Since Oct 8, the market has risen 36% and is now in thestart of a second month of horizontal corrections.

Although we don't have anything to continue a rally, we really don't have anything to generate a fall, so I expect to see the market travel horizontally between 1215 and 1280 until something pushes it.

Mutual funds depositied around $13 Billion each week the first 3 weeks fo January, and withdrew $4 billion in the last week. Due to the huge difference between this number and previous years, I don't have a comparison.

The one thing that the market has for it is that continual influx of money-it has to go into stocks, bonds, money markets, commodities, or cash. But where? Right now its going to cash and bonds, and that will cause some sort of correction, because you have to have buyers at some price to sell your stock.

Liquidity and Value.

Anyone going to buy YHOO at its price tomorrow? Or CMGI, or even CPQ or DELL? Now pretend you area fund manager with your part of the $12 billion+ that just got dumped in your coffers this week...

lastshadow