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Strategies & Market Trends : The Thread Formerly Known as No Rest For The Wicked -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Tim Luke who wrote (11570)2/2/1999 8:54:00 PM
From: A. Charles  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 90042
 
<<don't play options>> A giggle for the thread: I'm holding the long half of a bear put spread on AMZN, giving me the priv. of selling at 80 on or before the end of the third Friday in July. What's your (the thread's) vote on whether I'll make a lot of money??? Tim has said don't mess with internet stocks!
Good luck,
ac



To: Tim Luke who wrote (11570)2/2/1999 8:58:00 PM
From: puborectalis  Respond to of 90042
 
Cisco Tops 2Q Forecasts By A
Penny
(02/02/99, 7:01 p.m. ET)
By Sergio G. Non, TechWeb

Cisco Systems squeezed past analyst estimates in the
second quarter.

According to fiscal second quarter results released after
market close Tuesday, the world's largest maker of
networking equipment earned $606 million, or 36 cents
a share, not counting one-time charges. First Call's
survey of 30 analysts predicted a profit of 35 cents a
share for the quarter ended Jan. 23.

Second quarter sales rose 40 percent to $2.8 billion,
from $2 billion a year earlier, when Cisco earned $457
million, or 29 cents a share. The company said it
extended its share of the market for LAN switches and
continued to do well in the market for complete
network systems.

Shares of Cisco retreated 3 to 109 25/64, following the
earnings report. Investors may have been disappointed
by the lack of any announcement of a Cisco stock split.

In the second quarter, Cisco recorded one-time
charges of $349 million to write off in-process R&D at
four acquired companies -- Summa Four, Clarity
Wireless, Selsius Systems, and PipeLinks. Including
those charges, Cisco earned $288 million, or 17 cents a
share, for the quarter.

The company said it is banking on Internet growth to
fuel demand for networks that combine voice, data, and
video. Recent customers for Cisco's integrated
networks include ISPs such as PSInet, and telephone
companies like GTE and Sprint.

"The Internet revolution will determine which companies
survive and which get left behind, said John Chambers,
president and CEO of Cisco. "Increasingly, the Internet
is recognized as the key driver in our global economy."

Cisco equipment directs most of the traffic on the
Internet, but the company could finally see some
formidable competition. In a Tuesday afternoon
conference call, Cisco said the planned combination of
Lucent and Ascend will present a challenge.

Although Cisco's revenue mainly comes from large
corporations, the company is aiming for small
businesses and consumers. Cisco has licensed its
technology to consumer-electronics manufacturers, and
is talking to ISPs, in an attempt to speed up the rollout
of broadband Internet access to homes.



Related Stories:

Cisco CEO Touts Net Vision At ComNet

Cisco Tops 1Q Estimates By A Penny

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To: Tim Luke who wrote (11570)2/2/1999 9:02:00 PM
From: puborectalis  Respond to of 90042
 
Cisco Tops 1Q Estimates By A
Penny
(11/04/98, 5:33 p.m. ET)
By Sergio G. Non, TechWeb

Better-than-expected sales helped Cisco Systems edge
past Wall Street forecasts in its fiscal first quarter.

According to results released after market close
Wednesday, Cisco posted net income of $559 million,
or 34 cents a share. First Call estimated a profit of 33
cents per share.

First quarter sales rose to $2.59 billion, up 38 percent
from $1.87 billion a year earlier, when the company
saw earnings of $416 million, or 26 cents a share.

"The quarter finished very strongly," said Bill Becklean,
managing director at brokerage Tucker Anthony. "They
had good demand for their Access products and their
telco-switching products. They're clearly focused very
heavily on the service-provider market."

Now analysts want to see how macroeconomic issues
affect Cisco, said David Powers, senior technology
analyst with brokerage Edward Jones.

"The major question on peoples' minds is, 'Is there
going to be a reduction in capital spending from major
corporations, in light of the slowing economy?'" Powers
said. "If spending does slow down, Cisco may be in a
bit better position than other network-equipment
companies, but it's still going to affect margins."

Until now, Cisco has been able to beat consensus
estimates largely because component prices have
continued spiraling down, Powers said.

Cisco is still in a good position to expand in other
markets, Powers said.

"Cisco continues to penetrate the service-provider
market," he said. "You see wins with Sprint, wins with
Enron Communications, and when you see contract
wins of that nature, you get a sense that they're seeing
success there."



Related Stories:

Web Saves Cisco $550 Millon Annually

Cisco Edges Past 4Q Forecasts



To: Tim Luke who wrote (11570)2/2/1999 9:08:00 PM
From: mlmpro  Respond to of 90042
 
Thanks Tim for that quick response.

If CSCO opens anywhere below 113 tomorrow morning, I'm buying a s&!tload of it, and won't look at it until 130. I do think that the big boys may have gotten their dips after hours and will continue pre-market tomorrow morning, putting us back at 113 or higher before the market opens (and thus, disagree with you on your assessment with opening lower).

I'll have to watch the stock price after the open and after this "disapointment of no split" to settle down before bailing on the options. I do agree with you on where csco will be in 2 weeks and will probably end up flat or at a slight profit on my options, but I'll let you know how things turn out.

P.S. I've liquidated the penny portfolio,JBOH & some other stuff in my firstrade account yesterday. These proceeds are being reinvested in a new brokerage account, 50 % in PAIR, one of Jenna's picks, 10% gambling funds to daytrade with, and a small portion for a trip to Spain.

When I sell PAIR, I'm headed straight to the Sea-Doo Dealer. I've learned fast to ditch the pennies and get a real broker. Now, if only I could learn to reinvest more profits...