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To: JMD who wrote (22441)2/3/1999 8:27:00 PM
From: Caxton Rhodes  Respond to of 152472
 
RESEARCH ALERT-J.P.Morgan starts communication cos
NEW YORK, Feb 3 (Reuters) - J.P. Morgan said Wednesday it
started Iridium World Communications Ltd. with a
market perform rating, Globalstar Telecommunications Ltd.
with a buy rating, and ICO Global Communications with a long-term buy rating.
-- Iridium expects to add 500,000 to 600,000 subscribers to
its network in 1999. -- J.P. Morgan expects Iridium to remain in its current
valuation range if it is successful in adding 250,000
subscribers to its network during 1999.
-- with Globalstar and ICO entering the wireless carrier
market place in 1999 and 2000, competition will increase and
may stifle Iridium's profits.
-- Target price for Iridium by the end of 1999 is $37 and
$47 by year end 2000.
-- J.P. Morgan initiated coverage of ICO with a $19 yearend target price.
-- According to J.P. Morgan, ICO's market penetration rate
translates at year end 1999 into a worth of about $4.5 billion
or $19 per share based on the discounted cash flow analysis.
-- ICO is the only mobile satellite services company to own
its ground network. This will enable it to maintain end-to-end
control over the majority of its call traffic.
-- J.P. Morgan initiated coverage of Globalstar with a $30
target price, as the stock has significant room for upside
appreciation given the company's potential revenue and cash
flow generation power shortly after the start of services.
-- J.P. Morgan believes the company's satellite launch in
the second half of February 1999 will renew investors'
confidence in the deployment schedule and drive the stockhigher.
-- Globalstar's cost structure pro rated over the lifetime
of its network under similar capacity scenarios is lower than
that of its peer group. -- Iridium shares were off 1/16 at 33-1/8, Globalstar
shares were up 7/16 at 19-7/16 and ICO Global shares were up1/8 at 14-3/8.
((--Wall Street Desk (212) 859 1730))