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Strategies & Market Trends : Currencies and the Global Capital Markets -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Henry Volquardsen who wrote (1230)2/4/1999 9:36:00 AM
From: Paul Berliner  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 3536
 
Thomas, Henry, I seem to be a bit confused about the debate - are
we arguing that there is less gold under lease than widely assumed,
or are we just saying that should some event cause a rush into gold, that the price won't zoom up in any stratospheric way because those
covering the leases won't make that big a dent?
From what I've read, many hedge funds use leased gold for extra leverage, and a spike which would cause them to cover on this already
very profitable transaction could send the not-very-liquid gold market
into the stratosphere.
This is one thing that would surely knock the market on its ass - I
can't even say with confidence that a RMB & $HK devaluation will anyoore. Mr. Yen said last week that the global financial infrastructure needs to be retinkered with. Schroeder of Germany
made similar comments, as have officials of smaller countries. Should
gold play any part in a global currency-stabilization scheme, then
I have no doubt that the yellow metal would arise from its coma
quite angrily.