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Technology Stocks : 3Com Corporation (COMS) -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Moonray who wrote (27647)2/4/1999 10:24:00 PM
From: Tom Gebing  Respond to of 45548
 
CREDIT SUISSE FIRST BOSTON CORPORATION FEBRUARY 4, 1999

FIRST EDITION COMPANY COMMENT
3Com Corporation (COMS, USD $38.3, STRONG BUY)Target (12 Months): $55
Four issues have impacted the stock: Intel's adapter product
announcement, fallout from a distributor's pre-announcement,
comments from Cisco on market dynamics, and the back-end loaded
nature of quarter. Of all these were are most concerned with
visibility and less concerned with the recent Intel, (INTC,
$138.59, BUY) Cisco (CSCO, $111.12, STRONG BUY) and Tech Data
(TECD, $22.06, NR) issues.
Although not new, the back-end loading of FQ3 - over 50% of
business remains to be done in the month of February - creates
significant, albeit manageable, risk.
We believe that as visibility into May quarter increases, the stock
should perform better as investors look through the seasonally tough FQ3.
While we share some near term visibility concerns, we remain
enthusiastic about 3Com's long term prospects; we still some near
term risk in the stock and will become more aggressive buyers as
the visibility improves.
Cisco (CSCO,$111 1/8,Strong Buy) Intel (INTC,$138 11/16,Buy)* Tech
Data (TECD,$22 1/16,Not Rated) Annual EPS
5/00E $2.3 05/99E 1.40



To: Moonray who wrote (27647)2/4/1999 10:41:00 PM
From: joe  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 45548
 

>>All 3COM has to say to restore confidence is:
"No, we don't see that we are losing business to Cisco".

Any thoughts anybody?<<

Yes, moonray, I thought about this later, and realized that
would be a good thing for them to come out and say. It would
seem like something they could say without knowing the
exact revenue numbers for the quarter.

I don't know, maybe they do need some more input from sales
revenues to come in? Maybe they're afraid of saying the
wrong thing? I don't know.

I did notice today that they are giving some type of sales break
on the Palm...possibly a way of getting some extra sales in
before the end of the quarter? Maybe that was some type
of indirect message?

joe



To: Moonray who wrote (27647)2/4/1999 11:11:00 PM
From: Bruce L  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 45548
 
<All 3COM has to say to restore confidence is (to say): "No, we don't see that we are losing business to Cisco.">

Moonray: The problem with this is that there are probably hundreds of products from both COMS and CSCO that to some extent compete with each other. This is especially true since CSCO has decided to target the consumer and small enterprise markets. At any given time both companies have some products that are gaining ( and losing) market share.

Of course they could say something general to the effect that OVERALL they are not losing market share.

Bruce