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Technology Stocks : Intel Corporation (INTC) -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Ibexx who wrote (72934)2/4/1999 9:55:00 PM
From: brian z  Respond to of 186894
 
AMD slips deeper into the abyss

zdii.com



To: Ibexx who wrote (72934)2/4/1999 11:56:00 PM
From: Ibexx  Read Replies (4) | Respond to of 186894
 
Thread, The following is taken, in part, from Option Investor Newsletter, issued 2/4/99:

"One of the major reasons for the Nasdaq massacre today was the
reemergence of Tom Kurlak (Kurlakspan to us). Once a quarter he
has to come out from hiding and verbally abuse Intel and any other
chip/tech stock that is doing better than his estimates permit.
He downgraded Intel and AMD today based on his view of a coming
price war between the two. You did good Tom, -83 on the Nasdaq.
Hope you are happy now. Personally I think the price war is over.
AMD has been forced to make a market in the very low margin, cheap
chip market. Intel on the other hand has excelled in bringing new
high performance, high margin, processors to the market place and
cannot make them fast enough to satisfy demand. Where would you
want to be? I view Intel here as a buying opportunity, especially
with a split coming up soon.


As far as the rest of the techs, Dell was up +17.00 last week and
+8.00 on Monday. Can you spell profit taking?? SUNW was up +13.75
last week and +4 yesterday. MSFT +18.75 last week but accused of
forging video evidence this week, a definite non market related
downer. CSCO +8.75 last week, missed the whisper number and did
not announce a split with earnings. No market related drop here,
just stock related profit taking.

Is this just a post Fed down day or the start of a new trend? Lets
look at the facts. The market internals were terrible. Advances
were overwhelmed by decliners 2674 to 4370. The Nasdaq was hit
with the third worst point loss ever at -83 or -3.3%. The tech
leaders were killed with DELL -5.50, SUNW -7.13, MSFT -7.75,
and INTC -8.56. The individual reasons in the previous paragraph
look like either individual problems or just serious profit
taking to me. The Nasdaq is up huge numbers since the October
lows. The constant record setting pace has greatly extended these
stocks and we could easily see another -10% drop and most would
still have positive gains for the last two weeks. With 14 record
closes in the last 20+ days of trading it would be irrational
exuberance to not expect some profit taking at some point. This
is what stop losses are for.

The fact that the Dow held ground in the face of the monster
tech sell off is good news. If the jobs report tomorrow is not
as strong as some expect then we could see a bounce there.

AMD warned at the close that they would in fact see some more red
ink this quarter and the market did not have time to react to the
news before the close. This would suggest another tech drop at the
open. Another strong drop could start the bargain hunting early.
Did I say buying opportunity for Intel??..."

_____

Have your $$$$ ready!

Ibexx