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To: Glenn D. Rudolph who wrote (73064)2/5/1999 9:12:00 PM
From: puborectalis  Respond to of 186894
 
Chip Sales See Sequential Rise In
4Q
(02/05/99, 7:27 p.m. ET)
By J. Robert Lineback , Semiconductor Business News

World semiconductor sales were stronger
than expected at end of 1998, according to
new market data released Friday by the
Semiconductor Industry Association in San
Jose, Calif. The SIA said chip sales rallied in
the fourth quarter to surpass expectations
with a 10.5 percent increase over third
quarter revenues.

The trade group said December sales data provide
additional evidence that the strong rebound continues
from the depth of the 1998 recession last summer. SIA
officials were particularly pleased to see growth
returning to the Asia-Pacific region at the end of 1998.

"This stabilization bodes well for favorable sales in
1999," said George Scalise, president of the SIA. In its
annual forecast issue last November, the SIA predicted
that worldwide semiconductor sales would grow 9.1
percent to $133.4 billion in 1999 and 15.2 percent to
$153.7 billion in 2000.

Using a three-month moving average, the U.S. trade
group said chip sales in December reached $11.31
billion, bringing the 1998 total to $125.61 billion. In
November, the SIA had predicted that 1998
semiconductor revenues would total $122.3 billion, a
decline of 10.9 percent from $137.2 billion. The new
figures now show the chip markets fell by 8.3 percent in
1998.

"December is the first month in 1998 when two of the
world markets showed growth on a year-over-year
basis," Scalise said. "Asia-Pacific's sales in December
are up 2.4 percent from December 1997, when the
financial crisis had not yet taken effect." The
Asia-Pacific region's chip sales were $2.645 billion in
December 1998 compared to $2.584 billion in
December 1997.

In addition to the Asia-Pacific region showing a gain
over the previous year, Europe had an increase of 5
percent to $2.697 billion vs. $2.568 billion in
December 1997, according to the SIA's monthly sales
report.

Chip sales in the Americas fell 4 percent to $3.653
billion in December compared to $3.803 billion in the
prior year. Japan's semiconductor revenues dropped
8.3 percent to $2.317 billion vs. $2.528 billion, said the
SIA.

Worldwide, December's $11.312 billion in chip sales
represented a 1.5 percent decline from $12.114 billion
in the same month during 1997. Semiconductor sales in
December slipped 0.7 percent from $11.396 billion
recorded in November.

The SIA said supply and demand moved closer into
balance in the fourth quarter because of cutbacks in
semiconductor capital spending. Investments in new
wafer fabrication capacity plunged in 1998 as the
industry struggled with a glut of chips. The SIA also
said chip demand improved in the final three months of
1998 with a recovery in Asia-Pacific markets and
continued growth in PC shipments due to lower system
prices.



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To: Glenn D. Rudolph who wrote (73064)2/5/1999 9:29:00 PM
From: Ross Roberts  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 186894
 
I love Tom Kurlak. It took me a while to figure it out, but I finally did. When Tom says sell, you should buy. When Tom says buy, you should buy some more <ggg>



To: Glenn D. Rudolph who wrote (73064)2/6/1999 12:53:00 PM
From: Proud_Infidel  Respond to of 186894
 
Re: extrapolated this into a
price war with INTC, and downgraded Intel


This is what truly amazes me. Anyone who has followed Intel for more than a month knows that they compete using a scorched-earth policy, cutting prices on chips to emasculate their competition, yet keeping margins up and shareholders happy. Kurlak is either really stupid or this time he sees something entirely different in the way Intel competes. My guess is the former:-)

Brian