To: Joe Brown who wrote (1296 ) 2/6/1999 6:25:00 PM From: djane Respond to of 2693
2/5/99 RedHerring blurb. Globalstar Telecommunications. Rising from the ashes [IRIDF mention] herring.com Top 10 Stocks for 1999 Red Herring Online February 5, 1999 Sometimes a stock has to blow up, literally, before it can offer a compelling buying opportunity for investors. This was definitely the case with Globalstar (GSTRF), a Loral-backed low-earth-orbit satellite telecommunications system that will have the capacity to transmit voice and data anywhere on the planet. Globalstar recently made the not-so-smart move of launching 12 of its proposed 32-satellite system on board a converted Soviet ballistic missile. When all 12 satellites showed up back at Loral's doorstep in itty-bitty charred pieces, costing Globalstar more than $180 million in insured hardware, the stock fell apart. But never underestimate the power of a learning experience, particularly when you have a CEO like Bernie Schwartz. Globalstar has since changed its strategy. It now launches only four satellites per rocket, and has traded in the used rockets for brand-spanking-new Pegasus launch vehicles. While the Motorola-backed Iridium project already has its birds in the air, there is a strong argument that Globalstar's system -- which is scheduled to be fully operation by September, and will ultimately have more than 50 satellites aloft, including four spares -- has better economics and broader market appeal. With Iridium phones costing $3,000 each, and the company targeting the narrower demographic of high-flying business people, Globalstar's focus of selling cheaper wholesale minutes to carriers implies that it can become the global wireless phone system for the masses. This is very much a development-stage company, however, and the risks are high. With losses every quarter over the past three years, and revenues at basically zero, Globalstar makes an Internet investment look safe. But when we evaluate the size of the market opportunity for satellite telecommunications, the quality of the management team led by Mr. Schwartz, and the leadership position the company will have when the system is finally up and running, we choose to forego an earnings history in favor of getting in on the ground floor of a stock that could hit the heavens. ALSO CONSIDER: WINSTAR COMMUNICATIONS While we're on the subject of risky investments, WinStar Communications, a competitive local exchange carrier (CLEC) targeting small and medium-size businesses, is another money-losing company in a hot space. With losses that leapt from $0.70 per share in 1995 to a projected $11.46 in 1998, WinStar is bleeding red ink. But with revenues also jumping, from $30 million in 1995 to $79.6 million in 1997 -- and likely higher for 1998 -- the company's business model is beginning to build some steam. A five-year deal with Lucent to help build out the rest of its system proves WinStar is keeping great company in its quest to become a leader in the wireless CLEC field. previous page return to intro next page Despite the recent rocket disaster, Christmas was merry for Globalstar. Globalstar is a repeat from last year's top 10 stocks, when WinStar also made the list. COPYRIGHT © 1998 RED HERRING COMMUNICATIONS. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED.