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Technology Stocks : Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: H James Morris who wrote (38486)2/6/1999 9:39:00 PM
From: KeepItSimple  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 164684
 
> and the new paradigm.

If I hear "paradigm" used again I think i'm gonna puke!

can't the internut industry come up with a new buzz-word? christ.. first quid-pro-quo, then push, then synergy, then "seamlessly integrated"..

p.s. that last one still makes me laugh. :)



To: H James Morris who wrote (38486)2/6/1999 9:41:00 PM
From: KeepItSimple  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 164684
 
Morris, what does your billionaire friend think about the internet stocks only three months after his "shoeshine" prediction? Does he think they're even more out of control at these prices? (roughly 300 percent above where the guy made his prediction)



To: H James Morris who wrote (38486)2/7/1999 11:12:00 AM
From: Glenn D. Rudolph  Respond to of 164684
 
12
squirrelly. For investors who, like us, believe
that we're still in the second or third inning of
this ball-game and that Amazon.com are the '98
Yankees, we'd be looking past the trees in the
foreground and focusing on the forest. We still
think there is plenty of chance to build positions
in this Internet Blue Chip at these levels. AMZN
should be a core Internet holding.
Move Over James, It's Bond, Amazon Bond
AMZN raised $1.25 billion from a private
placement offering (to lucky and qualified
institutional buyers) of convertible subordinated
debt. The deal was initially planned to raise
$500 million, but the size was increased due to
significant customer demand. The notes are due
in 2009 and carry a 4.75% interest rate. The
notes are convertible into shares at $156.05
(currently, a 33% premium above price). The
notes received a triple -C-plus rating from S&P.
Make no mistake, this placement as extremely
important. It accomplishes several goals
simultaneously; it adds even more flexibility to
Amazon's acquisition plan (now they have two
great currencies, dollars and AMZN stock, and
plenty of both), it provides some nice working
capital with which to buy/build distribution
centers and inventory (and other back-end
assets that are key to Amazon's 1999
maturation), and, of course, it creates a sense of
permanence and staying power that large
retailers and manufacturers like to see in an
important distribution partner. Expect to see
Amazon's focus shift markedly toward the
infrastructure build out in 1999. From now on,
its all about fulfillment, not customer acquisition
(increasing returns will take care of that…)
Books, Music & A Whole Lot More
Amazon continues its expansion in cyberspace,
offering a multitude of gifts (far beyond books,
music and video) for Valentine's Day: pajamas,
boxers, games, wallets, purses, and of course,
the standard chocolate and roses. All of this
continues under Amazon's customer-centric
philosophy, with gift editors offering up
suggestions for undecided/clueless shoppers.
Looking past Feb. 14
th
, AMZN continues to
expand Shop The Web announcing a new
household accessories deal, to add the travel,
electronics, toys/games, clothing/accessories and
computer hardware choices.
America Online (AOL)
AOL's Q4 Reflects “Consistency And
Predictability”
AOL reported their December quarter results
last week, beating almost all of our estimates in
what widely believed to be a strong quarter on
the back of great advertising and commerce
momentum during the Holiday season. Below
are some of our take-aways:
AOL's December quarter performance was
embodied in management's own use of the
phrase consistent and predictable on the call;
growth was strong in subscriber adds, in-line on
the advertising and commerce side, and much
better on the operating margin side, thanks
entirely to a significant gross margin expansion
that probably won't be repeated for the rest of
the fiscal year (June year end). All-in, however,
this quarter continues to shine a path towards
the manageability of the business model and the
“dials and levers” analogy the company and we
have spoken about for the last few quarters.
Though ad/commerce revenue didn't surprise as
(perhaps) some investors thought it might given
the huge upside in some other Internet notables
(like Yahoo! and Amazon), that was more than
offset by the great gross margin increases AOL
was able to pull off. And, of course, subs keep
chugging along, which is the best leading
indicator of future growth we can think of. To
be specific:
AOL's EPS Surprise Was Driven Almost Entirely By
A Big Gross Margin Increase