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Strategies & Market Trends : Working All Day, But Trading Behind the Bosses Back Thread -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Cymeed who wrote (485)2/7/1999 1:38:00 PM
From: Mark[ox5]  Respond to of 779
 
An interesting TUTS article.. mostly pros but shows a few cons (but cons won't matter in the short term with a 2.5M float)

upside.com

Tut Kicks Butt
The Take
February 01, 1999
by Phil Harvey

Wall Street's latest golden child, Pleasant Hill, Calif.-based Tut
Systems Inc. (TUTS) has a way with copper wires.

Once again, investors ratified the broadband access market by
sending Tut's shares up from $18 to $57.50 per share on the
company's first day of trading last Friday. But that doesn't solve the
problems involved in moving high-speed data around once it
reaches the home. Tut's technology gets the data there, but then it
has nowhere to go.

"There are some challenging technological issues ahead for
companies like Tut Systems that don't get solved with a successful
IPO," says Joel Achramowicz, a senior equity analyst at San
Francisco-based Preferred Capital Markets Inc.

Achramowicz admits Tut's technology for enabling high-speed data
access over the existing copper telephone wires in homes and
businesses is impressive. However, he says the company will have
to continue to put a lot of money back into research and
development--Tut has today's hot technology covered, but the
networking industry won't stand still. A combination of cable
modems and wireless solutions isn't far behind.

As it stands now, analysts agree that Tut is sitting pretty. The
Home Phoneline Network Alliance (Home PNA)--which includes
3Com, Intel and Compaq, among others--has declared Tut's
technology the residential standard.
Less visible, but more lucrative,
are Tut's business and multiple-unit dwelling high-speed
data-access products.

As the company hustles to extend the potential of the existing
copper infrastructure, broadband cable providers are at a
disadvantage. Tut's products allow users to plug devices directly
into phone jacks, while cable providers will have to figure out how
to distribute bandwidth around the house--and pay for those
devices.

Tut's recent IPO was surprising given that most networking
technology companies get snapped up for acquisition by bigger fish,
like ever-hungry Cisco Systems Inc. (CSCO). Tut decided to roll
the dice on Wall Street, even though networking analysts say it
would be a surprise if Tut had never been approached for buyout
talks.

Achramowicz points out that Cisco's modus operandi is to gobble
up little-known private companies long before they gain Tut
Systems' current valuation. Also, Tut's association with the Home
PNA and its investors--AT&T Corp. (T), Microsoft Corp. (MSFT)
and Intel Corp. (INTC)--has done little to keep the company a
secret.

Besides, Achramowicz says, Tut may have resisted suitors,
knowing that it had a good story to tell investors and that it would
do well in the public markets.

So far, "doing well" is an understatement. Tut's stock closed on its
second day of trading up 13 3/4 to 71 1/4.



To: Cymeed who wrote (485)2/7/1999 1:43:00 PM
From: Mark[ox5]  Respond to of 779
 
This is why I dont like buying new IPOs the 1st week
Granted TUTS had a disadvantage of a bad week on NASDAQ
But now seems to be where to buy it...it is back to
where it was the 1st day... and high of 86 already
Seems to of stabilized in upper 50s, low 60s but its
guesswork at this point because it has no history.
Main danger is volume dries up as people chase
this weeks IPOs and totally forget about TUTS. But
I think with the "coverage initiated" tactic in the
next 1-3 weeks it shouldn't be a big concern

Ticker: TUTS

Date Volume High/Ask Low/Bid Close
-------- ---------- ---------- ---------- ----------
01/29/99 7,582,100 63 3/8 48 57 1/2
02/01/99 3,001,200 86 1/4 58 1/4 71 1/4
02/02/99 1,933,800 83 5/8 70 1/2 76 1/8
02/03/99 1,214,100 82 1/2 62 66
02/04/99 1,103,900 68 5/8 57 1/8 58 3/8
02/05/99 803,900 61 5/8 55 1/4 60