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Technology Stocks : Novell (NOVL) dirt cheap, good buy? -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: JakeStraw who wrote (25346)2/8/1999 5:31:00 PM
From: Spartex  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 42771
 
Novell Reborn CEO Eric Schmidt and a timely directory strategy will propel the company back to prominence.

By SUSAN BREIDENBACH
Network World, 02/08/99

Directory-enabled networking will define computing in the 21st century, and Novell has once again staked out a position in the forefront of a major technology movement. This time, the company appears poised to seize the day instead of giving ground.

nwfusion.com

Great Article!



To: JakeStraw who wrote (25346)2/8/1999 5:37:00 PM
From: Villemure  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 42771
 
Please find this story at:
nwfusion.com

Novell Reborn
CEO Eric Schmidt and a timely directory
strategy will propel the company back to
prominence.

By SUSAN BREIDENBACH
Network World, 02/08/99

Directory-enabled networking will define computing in
the 21st century, and Novell has once again staked
out a position in the forefront of a major technology
movement. This time, the company appears poised to
seize the day instead of giving ground.

Novell Directory Services (NDS) has been evolving
for 10 years into a mature, robust cross-platform
system that many argue is the only enterprise-capable
directory game in town. It is certainly the only global
directory that boasts an installed base closing in on 50
million seats.

But the history of technology is littered with the
corpses of great products that lost out to inferior ones.
Companies often fail to get the word out to the right
people, can't garner enough third-party backing, or
have trouble convincing potential customers that they
will be around to provide support and upgrades.

Novell stumbled badly earlier in the decade, blowing a
near-monopoly of the LAN server market with an ill-conceived attempt to challenge Microsoft on the desktop. This two-front war alienated independent software vendors (ISV), confused users and diverted
resources and attention away from Novell's core
network-services business.

The fast-moving world of high tech is usually
unforgiving of such missteps. However, the growing
need for an industrial-strength enterprise directory is
providing Novell with a second chance, and the
company is taking full advantage. After losing money
in 1997, Novell shifted its focus to NDS and
directory-enabled applications, and has now posted
five strong quarters in a row. All indications are that
the reborn, refocused Novell will make a go of its
directory strategy, provided it has learned from the
mistakes of its past.

The gravy train

It's not NDS that will produce a steady revenue
stream for Novell, at least initially.

Rather, that job will fall to the applications that take advantage of
the directory. These products -ZENworks, Border-Manager, ManageWise and GroupWise - now account for 28% of Novell's product
revenue and generate a big chunk of its service revenue as well, although the company doesn't break out that percentage. At
any rate, the directory-related products comprise thefastest growing segment of the company's business, says Michael Simpson, Novell's director of marketing.

The applications are also driving sales of Novell's
flagship NetWare product. According to market
research firm International Data Corp. (IDC), the
company shipped more than one million new servers in
1998, up from 927,000 in 1997. NetWare 5.0,
released in September, is winning performance tests
and exceeding sales expectations.

"This is not about abandoning one business and
replacing it with another," Simpson says. "They are
perfectly complementary." Still, NDS is clearly the
strategic technology going forward, and the industry
seems to be paying attention.

Novell is licensing NDS to all comers, the idea being
to seed the market and make NDS a de facto standard that will increase demand for Novell's directory-enabled applications. While these licensing deals don't produce much revenue at this point, that
may change down the road if third parties start including NDS in products instead of building their own directories.

The potential size of the directory services market is
anyone's guess. Novell CEO Eric Schmidt has likenedit to the SQL market, which he put at $80 billion. Other estimates range to "virtually infinite" if you consider all the various applications that mayeventually be tied into a directory.

John Gantz, a senior vice president at IDC, says the Internet economy is fueling a huge need for directory services. "The environment will change so fast that network administrators won't know what hit them,"
Gantz told the attendees at the Novell Global PartnerSummit last month in Snowbird, Utah. "Novell is maneuvering into the right place at the right time."

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