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Strategies & Market Trends : MDA - Market Direction Analysis -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: yard_man who wrote (5764)2/8/1999 6:42:00 PM
From: donald sew  Read Replies (5) | Respond to of 99985
 
INDEX UPDATE
================================

My short-term technicals for the overall market rose today and are no longer in the oversold region, but are in the lower mid-range near the oversold region. This implies that if we do head down, there is now more downside than previously mentioned, and the timing for extreme oversold(CLASS BUY SIGNAL) has now been extended to 2-3 days from today. Of course the market could head up more. As I have always stated, when my short-term technicals are in the mid-range its a flip of the coin.

We still that that little nasty BEAR FLAG which could dissolve tomorrow to the downside. Its quite obvious that we are zig-zagging in the DOW, which has been the case for 17 trading days, however this bear flag is implying that this zig-zagging could end tomorrow or Wed to the downside. This bear flag can be clearly seen on Monty's website of charts.

I still feel that there will be a bounce, but feel that with this bear flag it will head down some more first before the rebound.

From a subjective point of view, I would not want to discount the effect that RALPH ACUMPORA, and the other analysts may have to add negativity to the market. The media is giving the impression that the market shook off their announcements today, so theres nothing to worry about. I get the feeling that many of the average investors are getting the info tonight - lets see what the reaction is tomorrow, before completely agreeing that the market shook off their negative announcement - maybe they did, but I will wait till tomorrow to make that call.

Seeya



To: yard_man who wrote (5764)2/8/1999 7:07:00 PM
From: Impristine  Respond to of 99985
 
Man, not another gap,
i can't live with another gap,
i fell in the gap,
maybe the margin man,
won't find me here....



To: yard_man who wrote (5764)2/8/1999 7:14:00 PM
From: James F. Hopkins  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 99985
 
This in a non think "hedge", thinking can mess it up.
Just book mark the post and look at it 6 mos from now.
You can go to sleep on it & don't even have to watch
or try to improve it, & that's the point.
----------
Any one but a complete idiot can improve it with a tad
of timing, BUT any one who is too smart will also mess
it up.
The short MDY long SPY hedge , ( legging in and out only on
BIG moves ) is so simple that high IQ people have a hard time
trying to understand it, and for the most part they just skip over
it, as they need something more complicated ( so they can lose money)
in order to be happy.
Jim