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Gold/Mining/Energy : Strictly: Drilling and oil-field services -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: A. Geiche who wrote (37127)2/9/1999 2:41:00 PM
From: Crimson Ghost  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 95453
 
Bearish article from S & P.

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 MARKETS : MARKET SNAPSHOT

Tuesday February 09, 1999 (08:00 am ET)

S&P Sees Further Weakness for Drilling, Oilfield Services
Firms

NEW YORK, Feb. 09 (Standard & Poor's) - With the U.S. drilling rig count at an all-time low, we see
continued weakness for shares of drilling companies and oilfield service providers. The U.S. rig
count was 558 last week, down 44% from a year ago and the lowest since Baker Hughes began
tracking rig count in 1944, and international rig counts are falling as well. With worldwide exploration
spending set to fall 25%-plus in 1999, we don't see a significant rebound in oilfield activity on the
horizon. The Gulf of Mexico is now the weakest offshore drilling market, but we expect rapid
deterioration of utilization rates and dayrates in the North Sea over the next few weeks.

We believe the industry will be forced to consolidate to survive, which should results in some deals
later in the year. Consensus EPS estimates do not yet reflect the worst-case scenario, which would
result in losses for many drillers. It is this threat of further operating downside that leads us to ignore
seemingly attractive prices for many stocks in the industry. We reiterate our (sell) opinions on
Baker Hughes (BHI), ENSCO International (ESV), McDermott International (MDR),
and Rowan Cos (RDC).