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Strategies & Market Trends : Waiting for the big Kahuna -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Death Sphincter who wrote (37349)2/9/1999 9:04:00 PM
From: Berney  Read Replies (3) | Respond to of 94695
 
Carl, Bang Bang - You're Dead

John Murphy would disagree with you. In Technical Analysis of the Futures Markets (page 397), he states:

"The most commonly used numbers in retracement analysis are 61.8% (usually rounded off to 62%), 38%, and 50%. Remember from Chapter 4 that markets usually retrace previous moves by certain predictable percentages -- the best known ones being 33%, 50%, and 67%. The Fibonacci sequence refines those numbers a bit further. In a strong trend, a minimum retracement is usually around 38%. In a weaker trend, the maximum percentage retracement is usually 62%."

You see, when Bill pushed me screaming and kicking into the TA world about a year and a half ago, I took on the issue to the same degree as everything else in my life. Until the OEX breaks 600, I consider this just a normal market adjustment in a not unusual trading range. I'm not a bear or a bull, just out to make money.

BWDIK and all other disclaimers.

Berney