To: Secret_Agent_Man who wrote (1900 ) 2/9/1999 9:10:00 PM From: Hawkmoon Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 30916
12-13 only in a total meltdown of the market will you see that area again. Exactly what did else did you think I was talking about? Have you been following the TA on the major indices? Take a look at the Russell 2000. It just broke below its current price channel and its next support it at 390. This is very bearish as a signal for the overall market being at a top. However, further analysis indicates that the OTC COMP could retrace to 2,200 and if it doesn't hold there, the next stop is 2,000. The Dow needs to hold 9,000 or it goes to 8,800 (unlikely) and failing that (likely), to 8,500. But my main concern has stemmed from reading the Financial Times of London this morning. It seems that Japan will be issuing a ton of new bonds this year (no surprise) which will reach a level where their debt exceeds that of the US (that was a surprise). For them to maintain this debt, I sense that US govt bonds are likely to come under extreme pressure from Japanese selling (so they can use that money to purchase their own debt like we do here in the US). US bonds are sold by Japanese, interest rates go up to encourage buying of those bonds by other parties, money moves from the equities markets to bonds until we find a new equilibrium point between bonds and equities. That the scenario I see. And that means a long-overdue correction. Even IDTC will be slammed by a deflation of the overall market, especially the hyperbolic internet sector. The next couple of days/weeks will tell. I'm looking into BEARX as a safe haven. We'll see if I'm just running scared or if we're looking at another July scenario. The NYSE A/D line would indicate a repeat of July. But after the correction is over, then we can pick up the pieces and see which companies are set to assume leadership. Still very bullish on IDTC, but I just feel it will become a victim of market pressures beyond its control. Good luck!!! I'll be hanging around watching from the sidelines for awhile until I figure out which way the winds are blowing. Regards, Ron