To: Proud_Infidel who wrote (28139 ) 2/11/1999 5:29:00 AM From: Duker Respond to of 70976
Analysts Expect Record Growth In the Asian-Pacific PC Market By CONNIE LING THE WALL STREET JOURNAL INTERACTIVE EDITION HONG KONG -- Record growth is predicted for the personal-computer market in Asia-Pacific for 1999 on the heels of a report that PC shipments in the region increased for the first time since the beginning of 1998. According to International Data Corp. Asia/Pacific, PC shipments in Asia-Pacific, excluding Japan, increased 7% to 2.89 million units in the fourth quarter from the year-ago period, marking the highest quarterly total ever recorded for the region. Much of the growth came from China, which saw a whopping 27.2% increase in the period compared with a year ago. The fourth-quarter growth also marked the first increase in PC shipments since the beginning of 1998, when the regional economic crisis began affecting the PC market. But despite the fourth-quarter gains, PC shipments fell for the year to 10.47 million from 10.54 million in 1997. "I think the worst is over," said Dane Anderson, director of computing systems for IDC Asia/Pacific, who predicted that almost all the battered markets in Asia-Pacific will start seeing a rebound in 1999. Mr. Anderson is forecasting a 14% increase in shipments in 1999 to almost 12 million units -- the highest ever for the region. Indonesia is expected to be the fastest-growing market in 1999, with shipments increasing more than 45%, Mr. Anderson said. However, even with the 45% growth, the market will still be only about a quarter the size it was in 1997, he said. Indonesia suffered a 81% drop in PC shipments in 1998 compared with the year before. China, India and Australia will lead the market growth in 1999, predicted Mr. Anderson. China accounted for about 38% of the total PC shipments in the region in 1998, and its share of the pie is expected to grow to more than 40% in 1999, he said. However, there remain some concerns about China's economic situation and its currency stability. "If China falls," Mr. Anderson noted, "it could derail the regional market recovery." India, while not as big in size as China, will most likely outpace China in terms of growth, Mr. Anderson said. He expects India to register 30% growth in PC shipments in 1999. Meanwhile, Australia and New Zealand will continue to post stable growth. Compaq Computer Corp. finished the year atop the regional PC market with a 8.5% market share, down from 9.2% in 1997. International Business Machines Corp. came in a close second with a 8.1% market share, up from 7.8% in 1997. Hewlett-Packard Co. and Chinese computer maker Legend Holdings Ltd. tied for third place, both with 5.4% market share. Legend recorded the most impressive gain of all PC vendors, as its dominance in the Chinese PC market helped it record 73.4% growth in 1998. -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- PC Units Shipped 1997 (market share) 1998 (market share) Compaq 974,000 (9.2%) 891,000 (8.5%) IBM 820,000 (7.8%) 848,000 (8.1%) Legend 325,000 (3.1%) 564,000 (5.4%) HP 482,000 (4.6%) 564,000 (5.4%) Acer 604,000 (5.7%) 488,000 (4.7%) Others 7.33 million (69.6%) 7.12 million (68%) TOTAL 10.54 million 10.47 million Source: International Data Corp. Return to top of page | Format for printing Copyright © 1999 Dow Jones & Company, Inc. All Rights Reserved. Personal Path