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Strategies & Market Trends : Value Investing -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Grommit who wrote (6021)2/10/1999 9:02:00 PM
From: Grommit  Respond to of 78515
 
OWN -- Sunterra.

This stock/sector is not a low risk area, but it certainly is a value play. OWN just announced earnings and beat the numbers by a couple of pennies. They develop and sell timeshares. Creepy industry, I know.

But check the basics:
biz.yahoo.com
Note that the analyst estimates are tight. They get guidance from the company and buy into it. I think that is generally good -- as long as the analysts are not sheep. (I am wary when analysts diverge.) OWN has a new CEO from REI (the timeshare company) who is reputed to be quite outstanding from what I read on yahoo when he joined the company.

Here's the industry:
quote.yahoo.com

The whole industry is undervalued. I believe based on the belief (fear) that the economy tanks, and timeshares dry up. If you believe that -- do not go here. But from what I read, the demographics favor timeshares as the boomers age. Long term OK, short term risky.

enjoy,
grommit

PS - I do not intent to overpost and tout my picks on this thread -- but they just came out with earnings, and it is one of my big holdings.

PS2 - Merril Lynch has a "Buy" on sunterra and has an analyst report on the company which you can get thru this month. They have free analysis reports for awhile --
mlol.ml.com

Merril Lynch had EPS for 1998 at $1.18 est (actual 1.20) and has 1999 est at $1.57 -- 30% growth. With ML recommendation, this industry and this company have some credibility. :o)

Oh yeah -- $1.20 per share -- 30% growth -- guess the stock price -- under $12 right now.