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Technology Stocks : Novell (NOVL) dirt cheap, good buy? -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Spartex who wrote (25409)2/11/1999 5:50:00 PM
From: Don Troppmann  Respond to of 42771
 
Quad-K:

According to your calcs, and I know this is speculative stuff, but it appears that NOVL would deliver about 17.5% NET earnings.
(ie: $1,3 M revenue X 17.5% NET = $227.5 M NET Earnings. 330M shares = $.69 per share)

Assuming 20% annualized revenue growth (without Digital Me) in the year 2002 revenues would be $2.25B X 17.5% NET = $393M NET Earnings, or approx $1.20 per share.

If Digital Me adds $500M in additional revenue, by 2002, and NET is still only 17.5% that adds another $.27 per share.

In 2002:
At 30 times trailing earnings = $44 per share
At 40 times trailing earnings = $59 per share

I agree with Paul. I think NOVL is in a bullish trend.

Don T.