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Technology Stocks : Intel Corporation (INTC) -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Paul Engel who wrote (73553)2/12/1999 10:02:00 PM
From: Larry Loeb  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 186894
 
Paul and All:

If you haven't read this:

Merrill's Kurlak Makes the Shift to the Buyside
By Marcy Burstiner and Eric Moskowitz
Staff Reporters
2/12/99 6:21 PM ET

It looks as if Tom Kurlak has finally found a friendly face.

Julian Robertson's Tiger Capital Management hedge fund has lured away Merrill Lynch
analyst Thomas Kurlak as a managing director leading the firm's technology research group.
Kurlak, whose departure from Merrill is effective immediately, is expected to join Tiger later
this month.

The stubborn and combative Kurlak has been one of the most respected semiconductor
analysts on the Street and was the longtime Ax on Intel (INTC:Nasdaq) until he failed to
foresee the recovery of the semiconductor industry in the second half of last year.

He covered nine stocks at Merrill, including Advanced Micro Devices (AMD:NYSE), and
Micron (MU:NYSE). A spokeswoman said the firm would make an announcement "soon"
about who will take over coverage from Kurlak. Meanwhile the stocks are under review, she
said.

As the Intel ax, Kurlak was one of Merrill's top stars, and chip investors would buy and sell
whenever Kurlak changed his ratings.

Kurlak has been beating Intel stock down since 1994, when the stock was trading in the
teens. He did so again three years later, and partly as a result, the stock struggled through
much of 1996. In August 1997, he changed his intermediate-term rating on Intel from
accumulate to neutral, which was applauded later that year and into 1998, when the stock
languished over the next 12 months, ending with his long term downgrade from accumulate
to neutral in August 1998.

That's when the trouble began for Kurlak. Because in September, Intel stock -- trading at
around 71 -- began to go up and it didn't stop until it hit 140 on Jan. 29. Meanwhile, sell-side
rival Mark Edelstone of Morgan Stanley began pounding the table for the chip maker.
Kurlak finally acknowledged the recovery on Dec. 23, when he changed his rating from
intermediate and long term neutral back to accumulate. By then the stock had reached 123,
which meant that those Merrill clients who had waited on his word had missed out on a 73%
rise.

Understandably, the faithful was not pleased. "He has been wrong for the past three or four
years," said L. Roy Papp, head of the L. Roy Papp Stock Fund, which has been an Intel
shareholder for years. "It has hurt him and it has hurt the customers of Merrill Lynch. It isn't
a surprise they are parting company."

Tiger founder and Chairman Julian Robertson said, "Tom Kurlak is one of the most
influential analysts on Wall Street. He and Merrill Lynch have been great friends of Tiger.
Tom has had a distinguished career on the sellside and we are thrilled he will continue his
career with us on the buyside."

Kurlak couldn't be immediately reached for comment. But in a statement from the hedge
fund, he said, "For 20 years, I have dispensed advice. Now I look forward to implementing it
with this new opportunity."

In terms of how this will affect semiconductor stocks, the hedge fund manager says: "Intel
has lost a prominent bear who's publishing, but the buy side has gained a prominent bear
with a large position on Intel, so you never know." Kurlak has been ranked in Institutional
Investor since 1980, and has been ranked the top semiconductor analyst there for the past
three years, according to a Merrill spokeswoman.