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To: Maurice Winn who wrote (2955)2/13/1999 11:31:00 AM
From: Joe Brown  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 29987
 
We'll know how many are selling with the Q1 report, and will have to content ourselves with that answer for now; however, the stock price performance will likely offer a clue, as it is exceedingly difficult for good or bad news to be kept completely secret on Wall Street.

<How come none in UK?> I'm not convinced that's accurate; the reports we're reading are old news. I believe the logjam has been broken and handsets are being delivered freely now.

Incidentally, a lot of the negative reports I've seen lately have been authored by writers whose names have not surfaced in connection with Iridium until recently. I'm always a bit reluctant to accept the sudden appearance of such reportage after a lengthy stock price decline without wondering if short sellers believe the worst is over and that a durable advance is about to start. Just my opinion...nothing more.



To: Maurice Winn who wrote (2955)2/13/1999 4:47:00 PM
From: djane  Respond to of 29987
 
RedHerring. Venturing into space [No GSTRF mention]

herring.com

By Stephanie Gates
Red Herring Online
February 12, 1999

Venture capital is making headway in space.

SpaceVest, a Reston,
Virginia-based venture capital firm
that focuses on the space industry,
just announced its new fund,
SpaceVest II, with $66 million in
capital.

Armed with new capital,
SpaceVest quickly made the first
investment of its new fund in MSI
Software. This Fairfax, Virginia-based company
develops healthcare workforce scheduling software. Its
software technology is derived from an architecture
originally developed for spacecraft altitude monitoring
and control systems.

SPACE-AGE STRATEGY
The new fund's investment strategy will continue to focus
on space-age technology, which the firm defines very
broadly. "More deals and larger deals in the same
sectors," says John Higginbotham, founder and chairman
of SpaceVest. The company will focus on four sectors
within its definition of the space industry:
telecommunications, infrastructure, emerging applications
(like remote sensing and global positioning systems), and
support services.

According to Mr. Higginbotham, "We favor
telecommunications on the infrastructure side," with
about one-third of the investments from its previous fund
going to this area. The other favored area is
telecommunication services. Basically, SpaceVest is
interested in anything satellite-related.

Limited partners or investors in SpaceVest II include
State Teachers Retirement System of Ohio; Sofical, a
subsidiary of Caisse de Dépôt et Placement du Québec;
and PNC Bank, North America (PNC). The firm plans
to add a few more investors to the fund and increase its
size by the end of March.

STATUS CHECK
The Red Herring spoke with Mr. Higginbotham last
summer about his firm, SpaceVest, and its investments.
At the time, he said that SpaceVest's first two portfolio
companies would be going public by the end of 1998.
Neither Constellation Communications, which uses
satellites for local and long-distance telecommunication
services to rural regions, nor Analytical Graphics, which
develops operational software for satellites, went public
last year.

Analytical Graphics did file for an IPO, but chose to pull
the offering. "Because of market volatility," says Mr.
Higginbotham, "we elected to delay."

When asked about Constellation Communications, Mr.
Higginbotham declares that he is "not at liberty to speak
about the current situation." Exhibiting classic Capital Hill
double-talk, he hinted that a positive announcement
about the company would be made soon.

NO RETURNS YET
So far, according to Mr. Higginbotham, SpaceVest has
not exited, whether by IPO or acquisition, from any of
its eleven prior investments in its first fund. This doesn't
bother Mr. Higginbotham, since he maintains that at least
one exit is imminent.

He also doesn't feel that competition between venture
capitalists is a problem in the space sector. Unlike the
overfunded technology sectors of Silicon Valley, Mr.
Higginbotham says, the space sector's problem "is less
competition than an undersupply of capital."

It looks like there's room for a few more venture capital
firms in space.


Satellite telecommunications company Globalstar is one of our top
ten stocks for 1999.

Investors also seemed to like the space sector at the close of 1998.

COPYRIGHT © 1998 RED HERRING COMMUNICATIONS. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED.




To: Maurice Winn who wrote (2955)2/13/1999 4:50:00 PM
From: djane  Respond to of 29987
 
7/98 RedHerring. Ventures in space [article on SpaceVest]

herring.com

IN THE MONEY
Recent IT deals and announcements.
The Red Herring magazine supplement
July 1998

Ventures in space
While most Silicon Valley venture capitalists prefer to be
thought of as grounded and methodical, SpaceVest has
worked hard to gain a reputation for having its head in
the clouds. Based in Reston, Virginia, SpaceVest is the
only venture capital firm in the nation to invest solely in
commercial space technologies.
Its second fund has
funneled more than $40 million into 11 companies
involved in space-related emerging applications,
infrastructure, telecommunications, and support services.

The initial test of SpaceVest's mentorship should come
soon. The firm is gearing up to launch its first two
companies--Constellation Communications, which uses
satellites to provide local and long-distance
telecommunications services to rural areas, and
Analytical Graphics, which creates operational software
for satellites--into the public markets by year-end.

SpaceVest has a rather broad definition of space-related
technologies. One investment that the firm is proud of is
Currie Technologies, which is designing electric bicycles
that will run on the same advanced battery technology
used by satellites. Despite some of the portfolio
companies' seemingly tangential connections to space
technologies, SpaceVest founder and chairman John
Higginbotham energetically denies that the space theme
is simply a marketing gimmick. "Sometimes we do focus
more on the applications that have spun out of the
technology developed for the space industry," he says,
"but our principals all have a strong background in the
aerospace, satellite, or telecommunications industries."

Because none of SpaceVest's portfolio companies have
gone public yet, assessing the firm's approach is difficult.
Six of the companies are being primed for initial public
offerings in the next two years, according to General
Partner Frank DiBello. SpaceVest's long-term strategy,
he says, is to exit one-third of its companies through
IPOs and two-thirds through acquisition--a reassuringly
down-to-earth goal for a firm devoted to space.



To: Maurice Winn who wrote (2955)2/13/1999 4:57:00 PM
From: djane  Respond to of 29987
 
SpaceVest report. The Space Industry: Viable, High-Growth Investment Opportunities
[End of 1998 date (I think)]

spacevest.com

The space industry is a major economic sector generating exciting, high-growth
investment opportunities. According to SpaceVest's State of the Space Industry -
Annual Outlook published in May 1997, the global 1996 space industry revenues
exceeded $76 billion. This marks the first year on record that commercial revenues
surpassed government expenditures. The report predicts that compound growth in
the space industry through the year 2000 will exceed 57 percent.


The space industry is currently in a state of commercial expansion. Today, thousands
of companies ranging from huge multinational firms to small entrepreneurial start-ups
are aggressively applying space-related products and services to the needs of a wide
range of emerging markets.
[ Return to Space Industry Annual Outlook ] [ Return to SpaceVest Overview ]

Infrastructure
Space Infrastructure includes procurement, production, testing and evaluation of
space-related hardware and systems needed for space transportation, satellite
systems, and ground facilities. Revenues in this sector are generated by activities such
as government funding for space programs, commercial expenditures for space
systems, and investments in new applications by telecommunications, electronics, and
aerospace companies.
[ Return to Space Industry Annual Outlook ] [ Return to SpaceVest Overview ]

Telecommunications
Telecommunications represents the largest sector of the space industry. Hundreds of
public and private concerns worldwide own, operate, and utilize satellite systems for
a variety of telecommunications services. Satellites, as an integral part of the world's
telecommunications infrastructure, provide critical support for services such as
long-distance telephony, television broadcasting, and cable TV. In the developing
world, satellites are delivering basic telephone service to millions of people for the
first time. Emerging economies are using satellite technology to support rapid growth.
In the United States and Europe, satellite technology is enabling new services such as
personal communications systems, distance learning, and private networks. Growth
rates of 20 to 30 percent are expected to continue in many segments of this sector.
[ Return to Space Industry Annual Outlook ] [ Return to SpaceVest Overview ]

Emerging Applications
The Emerging Applications sector comprises a variety of areas such as remote
sensing, geographical information systems, global positioning, advanced materials,
and "spin-offs" of space technologies. By using optical sensors on satellites to
generate multi-spectral images of the earth's surface, remote sensing technology has
applications in agriculture, mapping, defense, surveying, and environmental sciences.
Global positioning systems are used for applications such as marine and aviation
navigation, vehicle location and tracking, mapping, and surveying.

Healthcare applications comprise a variety of advanced technology areas that have
the potential for favorably impacting the cost and quality outcomes of healthcare
delivery. Escalating pressures for cost reduction and quality improvement in the
healthcare industry and the related restructuring of it will drive all sectors of the
industry toward investments in advanced technology solutions to establish and
maintain their competitive positions. Space-related technology is being applied
toward such areas as biomedical instrumentation; patient monitoring systems;
enterprise software systems; disease management, outcome measurement, and
decision support systems; network information technologies; and telemedicine
applications.
[ Return to Space Industry Annual Outlook ] [ Return to SpaceVest Overview ]

Support Services
The Support Services sector is comprised of specialized services such as engineering
and technical support, business consulting, finance, and space insurance. This sector
functions as an enabler for the rest of the space industry by providing an array of
services needed for growth.
[ Return to Space Industry Annual Outlook ] [ Return to SpaceVest Overview ]

Space-Related Solutions
Consider a few examples of space-related solutions that are increasingly important to
key global markets:

Satellite-based telecommunications systems have vast market potential.
Demand for personal communications services is booming worldwide. The
rapidly-expanding economies of Europe, South America, and Asia face the
task of implementing telecommunications systems to meet growing societal and
business demands. For the developing world, satisfying the demand for basic
telephone service remains a challenge. In all of these markets, satellite-related
wireless systems provide a cost-effective and technologically-robust solution
to fulfill market demand.
Further, space industry solutions are also meeting
other critical market needs such as direct-broadcast satellite television, satellite
broadcasting for cable distribution, fixed wireless telecommunications, global
mobile communications, and integrated content services.

Space-based Geographic Information Systems (GIS) provide detailed and
precise terrestrial data needed by a variety of markets. For example, farmers
use GIS tools to analyze and manage their crops thereby improving crop yields
and enhancing competitiveness in an increasingly global marketplace.
Insurance companies utilize GIS data to assess claims following a flood or fire
disaster. Timber companies, government agencies, and environmental groups
all use GIS data to monitor forests.

Today's space-based Global Positioning System (GPS) technology enables
tracking of objects with pin-point precision--a critical capability with many
applications. Transportation companies can monitor their fleets more closely to
adhere to tight delivery schedules. Construction companies use GPS to
streamline the process of surveying complex building sites. Automobile
manufacturers are using GPS to offer consumers value-added services such as
location and direction finding, trip tracking, and emergency response
assistance.

A variety of new products and services are successfully introduced to the
general economy from technologies developed in the space industry on a
regular basis. These are generally referred to as "spin-offs". For example,
advanced fastener technology developed through the space program has been
applied to manufacturing to improve productivity and safety. Other examples
of space-related technology spin-offs include lightweight structures for
construction, portable X-ray machines, patient monitoring systems in health
care, and the development of intelligent expert system software in the
computer field.

[ Return to Space Industry Annual Outlook ] [ Return to SpaceVest Overview ]

Space Industry Macro-Trends

Globalization. The space industry is inherently global by nature. More than 20
countries have active national programs related to the development of space
infrastructure, with the United States, Europe, the Commonwealth of Independent
States (CIS), China, and Japan leading the way. In addition, many developing nations
have become significant purchasers of space-related products and services such as
satellite-based telecommunications systems and remotely-sensed data. Emerging
markets in Eastern Europe, the CIS, Africa, South America, and the Pacific Rim
represent significant opportunities for the space industry, particularly the
telecommunications sector. These opportunities have led to a number of firms
expanding internationally through mergers, acquisitions, and strategic partner
arrangements.

Deregulation and Privatization. The global trend toward deregulation of
telecommunications has given rise to a multitude of new competitors, services, and
markets servicable by the space industry. Additional space-related commercial
opportunities are being created by the privatization of many traditional government
space activities. For example, Europe has established private marketing organizations
for launch vehicles (Arianespace) and remote sensing satellite data (Spot Image). In
the U.S., government-owned national launch ranges are now licensed to private
concerns, and many suppliers of defense-related space infrastructure who formerly
sold exclusively to the government are now permitted to compete commercially.

Capital Market Acceptance. The financial community is increasingly recognizing
the emergence of the space industry as a mainstream industrial activity with powerful
growth characteristics. Successful financial performance should continue to attract
capital to the industry, thereby institutionalizing the space industry in the capital
markets. While capital market acceptance is still not as widespread as for information
technology ventures, the financial community has begun to recognize that many
ventures with a space component are not as risky as previously thought. Satellite
telecommunications projects still remain the preferred space industry investment.


Technology Convergence. The convergence of telecommunications and
information technologies will continue to fuel commercial growth for advanced
"infocom" products and services for a global mobile community. The inherent
"look-down" advantages of space-based capabilities will continue to provide an
effective means for delivering services and gathering information on a regional or
global basis.

Government Funding. Space-based capabilities have become integral to the
defense community. Continued stability of research and development expenditures
for both civil and defense initiatives is expected. Expenditures related to deploying
space infrastructure are expected to continue, with a higher utilization of
commercially-developed capabilities. This increasing reliance on space assets for
defense operations will provide a revenue base for continued space technology
development.

Emergence of New Industry Leaders. The small-to-medium-sized firms in the
space industry generally have been on the forefront of commercial innovation. They
often possess the low-cost structures and commercially-oriented market behavior
necessary to capitalize quickly on market opportunities and to compete effectively.
Given the substantial size of the worldwide space industry and the emergence of
numerous commercially-viable niches, many of these companies can experience
ample growth without inviting significant competitive response.
[ Return to Space Industry Annual Outlook ] [ Return to SpaceVest Overview ]

Home | Overview | Companies | Management | Investment Discipline | Announcements




To: Maurice Winn who wrote (2955)2/13/1999 5:07:00 PM
From: djane  Respond to of 29987
 
He also doesn't feel that competition between venture capitalists is a problem in the space sector. Unlike the overfunded technology sectors of Silicon Valley, Mr. Higginbotham says, the space sector's problem "is less competition than an undersupply of capital."

This is an important point. I mean, really, how many more web sites do we need? With buy.com guaranteeing the lowest price (ala Costco) on the web and competitors just a click away, won't profit margins on the web ultimately become negligible?



To: Maurice Winn who wrote (2955)2/13/1999 5:58:00 PM
From: djane  Respond to of 29987
 
Economist. BUSINESS. Mobile telecoms. Unbound
[Check out the last paragraph]

economist.com

IF THE
flow of
deals is
anything
to go by,
there are
few
more
exciting
industries
than the
nascent
wireless
data
market.
A flurry
of
announcements
this
week
was
timed to
coincide with a big convention in New Orleans.
But the message hardly needed hyping. If you
combine the convenience of the fastest-growing
consumer device in history—the mobile
telephone—with the reach and richness of the
Internet, you have a technological field of dreams.

Working on the principle of “build it and they will
come”, nearly all the leading firms in the
computing and communications industries are
jostling to form the alliances they think they need.
Among those revealed in the past few days are:
• A $1 billion venture between Cisco Systems,
main supplier of the networking equipment that is
the “plumbing” of the Internet, and Motorola, a
pioneer of wireless technology, to develop mobile
Internet products.
• Motorola has also joined Nextel, an American
wireless operator that chiefly serves the business
market, along with Netscape and Unwired
Planet, two Internet software specialists. The
collaboration will give Nextel's customers an
Internet “gateway” and e-mail service.
• An agreement between Cisco and Qualcomm,
an ambitious cellular-technology firm from San
Diego, to develop a high-speed wireless Internet
service for US West, a regional telephone
company.
• A partnership between Microsoft and British
Telecom (BT) to create new Internet and
corporate-data communications services for the
British company's 13m mobile customers spread
across ten countries.

The industry has been taking shape for over a
year. When America Online (AOL), which is the
dominant Internet-service provider, bought
Netscape in November, it said it was also
working with Sun Microsystems on a range of
simple Internet-access devices. This makes sense
for both firms. The devices will run on Sun's
Java-based operating system and will boost
demand for the company's big servers, which
already power some of the most popular
websites. As for AOL, it wants its subscribers to
connect to its services wherever they are.

Potentially even more significant is the year-old
Symbian alliance—a joint-venture between
Psion, an innovative British hand-held computer
firm, and the three biggest mobile-telephone
makers, Nokia and Ericsson of Europe and
Motorola. Symbian, which also has the backing
of IBM and Oracle, wants Psion's EPOC32
operating system to establish itself as the standard
for “smart phones” and other wireless Internet
appliances. Between them, the Symbian partners
produce 80% of the world's mobile handsets and
have close relationships with most of the world's
wireless operators. With influence like that, they
could succeed.

Microsoft's Bill Gates is said to regard Symbian
as an even bigger threat to his company than the
Department of Justice. Mr Gates recognises that
computing will no longer be confined to the
desktop, which he controls thanks to the
dominance of Windows. That is why he came up
with the “Windows Everywhere” strategy to
extend Microsoft's reach into both high-end
servers and small devices.

Unfortunately for Mr Gates, Windows CE,
Microsoft's operating system for devices, has
met with a generally lukewarm reception, while
Symbian threatens to damage its prospects
further. That has left Microsoft scrambling to do
second-order deals of the kind it has just
announced with BT (a venture that does not even
commit BT to using only Microsoft's technology).

Whatever Microsoft's difficulties, there is
remarkable unanimity that the combination of
wireless and Internet technology will lead to a
computing revolution that dwarfs the one initiated
by the PC. Because of their complexity and size,
PCs are only used by some people, some of the
time. In particular, much of the complexity of PCs
is redundant when they are being used to gain
access to the majority of services and
applications on the Internet.

Mobile-telephone and data-networking firms are
betting that enough of the things that people want
from the Internet can work without a PC's big
colour screen. Despite the smaller displays of
mobile telephones and devices such as the
PalmPilot, users will be able to send and receive
e-mails, perform e-commerce transactions and
get real-time updates on such things as share
prices, travel, weather, news and sporting events.

And that is just for the present—or at least in the
next couple of years, as services develop and
websites learn to adapt automatically to the
device which is connecting to them. But the real
prize is still a few years away, when
“third-generation” mobile networks are rolled
out.

Although these will not be able to match the
data-transfer speeds of the best fixed-line
connections, they will easily outstrip most current
Internet connections, including ISDN. As well as
offering the benefit of being able to receive
high-quality streamed video, the devices linked to
these networks will be formidable business tools,
capable of running advanced applications and
shifting vast amounts of data securely on
corporate intranets.

It is no exaggeration to say that with the wireless
Internet, computing may achieve its apotheosis:
simple, reliable, ubiquitous and pervasive.
According to Motorola, the world has about
800m fixed-line subscribers, 200m wireless users
and about 200m Internet users. By 2005, the
American firm expects there to be 1 billion
fixed-line, 1 billion wireless and 1 billion Internet
users. How many of those will be wireless
Internet users is anybody's guess, but the field of
dreams will be pretty busy.