SpaceVest report. The Space Industry: Viable, High-Growth Investment Opportunities [End of 1998 date (I think)]
spacevest.com
The space industry is a major economic sector generating exciting, high-growth investment opportunities. According to SpaceVest's State of the Space Industry - Annual Outlook published in May 1997, the global 1996 space industry revenues exceeded $76 billion. This marks the first year on record that commercial revenues surpassed government expenditures. The report predicts that compound growth in the space industry through the year 2000 will exceed 57 percent.
The space industry is currently in a state of commercial expansion. Today, thousands of companies ranging from huge multinational firms to small entrepreneurial start-ups are aggressively applying space-related products and services to the needs of a wide range of emerging markets. [ Return to Space Industry Annual Outlook ] [ Return to SpaceVest Overview ]
Infrastructure Space Infrastructure includes procurement, production, testing and evaluation of space-related hardware and systems needed for space transportation, satellite systems, and ground facilities. Revenues in this sector are generated by activities such as government funding for space programs, commercial expenditures for space systems, and investments in new applications by telecommunications, electronics, and aerospace companies. [ Return to Space Industry Annual Outlook ] [ Return to SpaceVest Overview ]
Telecommunications Telecommunications represents the largest sector of the space industry. Hundreds of public and private concerns worldwide own, operate, and utilize satellite systems for a variety of telecommunications services. Satellites, as an integral part of the world's telecommunications infrastructure, provide critical support for services such as long-distance telephony, television broadcasting, and cable TV. In the developing world, satellites are delivering basic telephone service to millions of people for the first time. Emerging economies are using satellite technology to support rapid growth. In the United States and Europe, satellite technology is enabling new services such as personal communications systems, distance learning, and private networks. Growth rates of 20 to 30 percent are expected to continue in many segments of this sector. [ Return to Space Industry Annual Outlook ] [ Return to SpaceVest Overview ]
Emerging Applications The Emerging Applications sector comprises a variety of areas such as remote sensing, geographical information systems, global positioning, advanced materials, and "spin-offs" of space technologies. By using optical sensors on satellites to generate multi-spectral images of the earth's surface, remote sensing technology has applications in agriculture, mapping, defense, surveying, and environmental sciences. Global positioning systems are used for applications such as marine and aviation navigation, vehicle location and tracking, mapping, and surveying.
Healthcare applications comprise a variety of advanced technology areas that have the potential for favorably impacting the cost and quality outcomes of healthcare delivery. Escalating pressures for cost reduction and quality improvement in the healthcare industry and the related restructuring of it will drive all sectors of the industry toward investments in advanced technology solutions to establish and maintain their competitive positions. Space-related technology is being applied toward such areas as biomedical instrumentation; patient monitoring systems; enterprise software systems; disease management, outcome measurement, and decision support systems; network information technologies; and telemedicine applications. [ Return to Space Industry Annual Outlook ] [ Return to SpaceVest Overview ]
Support Services The Support Services sector is comprised of specialized services such as engineering and technical support, business consulting, finance, and space insurance. This sector functions as an enabler for the rest of the space industry by providing an array of services needed for growth. [ Return to Space Industry Annual Outlook ] [ Return to SpaceVest Overview ]
Space-Related Solutions Consider a few examples of space-related solutions that are increasingly important to key global markets:
Satellite-based telecommunications systems have vast market potential. Demand for personal communications services is booming worldwide. The rapidly-expanding economies of Europe, South America, and Asia face the task of implementing telecommunications systems to meet growing societal and business demands. For the developing world, satisfying the demand for basic telephone service remains a challenge. In all of these markets, satellite-related wireless systems provide a cost-effective and technologically-robust solution to fulfill market demand. Further, space industry solutions are also meeting other critical market needs such as direct-broadcast satellite television, satellite broadcasting for cable distribution, fixed wireless telecommunications, global mobile communications, and integrated content services.
Space-based Geographic Information Systems (GIS) provide detailed and precise terrestrial data needed by a variety of markets. For example, farmers use GIS tools to analyze and manage their crops thereby improving crop yields and enhancing competitiveness in an increasingly global marketplace. Insurance companies utilize GIS data to assess claims following a flood or fire disaster. Timber companies, government agencies, and environmental groups all use GIS data to monitor forests.
Today's space-based Global Positioning System (GPS) technology enables tracking of objects with pin-point precision--a critical capability with many applications. Transportation companies can monitor their fleets more closely to adhere to tight delivery schedules. Construction companies use GPS to streamline the process of surveying complex building sites. Automobile manufacturers are using GPS to offer consumers value-added services such as location and direction finding, trip tracking, and emergency response assistance.
A variety of new products and services are successfully introduced to the general economy from technologies developed in the space industry on a regular basis. These are generally referred to as "spin-offs". For example, advanced fastener technology developed through the space program has been applied to manufacturing to improve productivity and safety. Other examples of space-related technology spin-offs include lightweight structures for construction, portable X-ray machines, patient monitoring systems in health care, and the development of intelligent expert system software in the computer field.
[ Return to Space Industry Annual Outlook ] [ Return to SpaceVest Overview ]
Space Industry Macro-Trends
Globalization. The space industry is inherently global by nature. More than 20 countries have active national programs related to the development of space infrastructure, with the United States, Europe, the Commonwealth of Independent States (CIS), China, and Japan leading the way. In addition, many developing nations have become significant purchasers of space-related products and services such as satellite-based telecommunications systems and remotely-sensed data. Emerging markets in Eastern Europe, the CIS, Africa, South America, and the Pacific Rim represent significant opportunities for the space industry, particularly the telecommunications sector. These opportunities have led to a number of firms expanding internationally through mergers, acquisitions, and strategic partner arrangements.
Deregulation and Privatization. The global trend toward deregulation of telecommunications has given rise to a multitude of new competitors, services, and markets servicable by the space industry. Additional space-related commercial opportunities are being created by the privatization of many traditional government space activities. For example, Europe has established private marketing organizations for launch vehicles (Arianespace) and remote sensing satellite data (Spot Image). In the U.S., government-owned national launch ranges are now licensed to private concerns, and many suppliers of defense-related space infrastructure who formerly sold exclusively to the government are now permitted to compete commercially.
Capital Market Acceptance. The financial community is increasingly recognizing the emergence of the space industry as a mainstream industrial activity with powerful growth characteristics. Successful financial performance should continue to attract capital to the industry, thereby institutionalizing the space industry in the capital markets. While capital market acceptance is still not as widespread as for information technology ventures, the financial community has begun to recognize that many ventures with a space component are not as risky as previously thought. Satellite telecommunications projects still remain the preferred space industry investment.
Technology Convergence. The convergence of telecommunications and information technologies will continue to fuel commercial growth for advanced "infocom" products and services for a global mobile community. The inherent "look-down" advantages of space-based capabilities will continue to provide an effective means for delivering services and gathering information on a regional or global basis.
Government Funding. Space-based capabilities have become integral to the defense community. Continued stability of research and development expenditures for both civil and defense initiatives is expected. Expenditures related to deploying space infrastructure are expected to continue, with a higher utilization of commercially-developed capabilities. This increasing reliance on space assets for defense operations will provide a revenue base for continued space technology development.
Emergence of New Industry Leaders. The small-to-medium-sized firms in the space industry generally have been on the forefront of commercial innovation. They often possess the low-cost structures and commercially-oriented market behavior necessary to capitalize quickly on market opportunities and to compete effectively. Given the substantial size of the worldwide space industry and the emergence of numerous commercially-viable niches, many of these companies can experience ample growth without inviting significant competitive response. [ Return to Space Industry Annual Outlook ] [ Return to SpaceVest Overview ]
Home | Overview | Companies | Management | Investment Discipline | Announcements
|